Previewing the Republican primary for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District
We’re continuing our battleground election previews ahead of tomorrow’s statewide elections in Alabama, Maine, and Texas. So far, we’ve looked at the Democratic primary runoff for the U.S. Senate seat from Texas and the Republican primary runoff for the U.S. Senate seat from Alabama. Today, we’re previewing the Republican primary for Maine’s 2nd Congressional District, in which Adrienne Bennett, Eric Brakey, and Dale Crafts are running.
This race is particularly interesting because it will be conducted via ranked-choice voting (RCV). The district held the first congressional election in U.S. history decided by RCV in 2018. Voters will rank the candidates from their first to third choices. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote after the first round of tallying, the third-place candidate will be eliminated from the running, and the votes of those who chose that candidate as their first choice will be redistributed to those voters' second-choice candidates. For a video further explaining the process, click
here.
The three candidates are competing to face incumbent Jared Golden (D) in the general election.
Golden was first elected in 2018, defeating incumbent Bruce Poliquin (R). Initial election results had Poliquin with 46.2% of the vote to Golden's 45.5%, but RCV in the state required a candidate receive over 50% of the vote. After votes were retabulated, Golden had defeated Poliquin by just over a percentage point. Poliquin filed a lawsuit in the U.S. District of Maine court seeking to end RCV tabulations for this race and to have the system declared unconstitutional. Judge Lance Walker denied his request, saying that Maine voters had cast their ballots relying on the RCV system.
Before Poliquin’s election in 2014, Democrats had held the seat since 1995.
All three candidates express support for President Donald Trump (R). Bangor Daily News reported on policy differences between candidates, writing, "Brakey has differentiated himself as more of a libertarian, breaking with Bennett and Crafts on foreign policy and federal spending." Brakey did not support the $2 trillion coronavirus relief package Congress passed and Trump signed. Crafts and Bennett supported it, while Bennett opposed the part of the legislation providing for an additional $600 a week in unemployment benefits.
Former Gov. Paul LePage (R) endorsed Crafts. Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) endorsed Brakey. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) endorsed Bennett.
Two elections forecasters rate this election as Toss-up, while a third rates it as Tilt Democratic.
|