[ [link removed] ]Swing Left Most-Flippable Districts[2]Swing Left
GOP Rep. Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this edition of our Most-Flippable Districts series, we’re taking a
look at what Roll Call reports is the second-most evenly divided
congressional district in the country: Arizona’s 6th.
This district had the tightest House margin in Arizona in 2024, and since
then, things have only gotten worse for the Republican incumbent, Juan
Ciscomani, who has voted with Trump 100% of the time this year.
While he's voting with Trump in Congress, he’s selling the opposite
message to his constituents. Ciscomani signed a letter urging House
Republican leaders not to mandate cuts to Medicaid, yet voted for a budget
resolution that instructs $880 billion in cuts to the program over the
next 10 years. This would affect 130,000 Medicaid recipients who live in
the district.
On top of that, he visited a food bank in his district to praise the work
they’re doing—after voting for the largest cuts to food assistance in
history. He also stayed silent while the Trump administration canceled
food aid that would’ve gone to the very same food bank he visited.
Now that we’ve covered why Ciscomani is so vulnerable, here’s why his
district is so winnable:
* Three major independent analysts, Cook Political Report, Sabato’s
Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections have all rated this district a
“Toss Up.”
* It’s one of seven districts in the country with an even Partisan
Voting Index—meaning the electorate here votes almost identically to
the electorate nationwide. In a strong year for Democrats, this
district is ripe to flip.
* A recent poll shows Ciscomani trailing a potential Democratic opponent
by one point, and his favorability rating is underwater at 32%
favorable to 49% unfavorable. Plus, 46% of his constituents say he
isn’t doing his job to reopen the government and end the shutdown,
compared to just 29% who said he is.
But although this district is a prime pick up opportunity, we can’t take
it for granted. The Arizona primary isn’t until August 2026, which means
the eventual Democratic nominee will have just three months to take
Ciscomani on in the general election.
That’s why Swing Left is helping fundraise for each of the 22 House
districts we’re targeting in the midterms, including Arizona’s 6th.
[ [link removed] ]If
you want to help us flip districts like Arizona’s 6th, will you make a
donation of $25, or whatever feels right, split between
Swing Left and all 22 of our target House districts today?
[ [link removed] ]Donate $25 Now
For Democratic-held seats, funds go directly to their campaigns now,
giving Democratic incumbents a head start before Republicans even have a
nominee.
And for Republican-held seats like Arizona’s 6th, your donations will be
held securely until after the primary election. Then, those funds are
immediately released, giving the Democratic nominee a much-needed cash
infusion to hit the ground running and take on their Republican opponent.
In addition to supporting Democrats in our target districts, your donation
will also support the on-the-ground organizing work Swing Left volunteers
are doing across the country right now.
Together, we can flip this district and the House in 2026, and put a real
legislative check on Trump’s MAGA agenda.
Thank you for everything you do, and make sure to stay tuned for more
updates.
Tomás Kloosterman
National Political Director, Swing Left
You can unsubscribe from this mailing list at any time:
[link removed]
