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Daily News Brief

October 27, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering U.S.-China trade talks in Malaysia, as well as...

  • The advance of paramilitaries in Sudan

  • A midterm victory for Argentina’s ruling party
  • A Cambodia-Thailand border deal
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Senior U.S. and Chinese officials reached a framework yesterday for a potential trade deal on tariffs and other issues ahead of a meeting between President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping this week. Both countries confirmed progress during high-level talks in Malaysia, with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent saying the preliminary deal could stave off Trump’s threatened extra 100 percent tariffs and China’s expanded rare earth controls. The details are subject to approval by Trump and Xi as they prepare to meet in South Korea Thursday. 

 

What both sides are saying. In addition to his comments on tariffs and rare earth controls, Bessent said that the framework included a decision about the sale of TikTok’s U.S. operation. He also suggested that China might agree to relax a boycott of U.S. soybeans, saying U.S. soybean farmers will likely “feel really good” once the deal is announced. Chinese officials were less specific about the preliminary deal’s contents, saying that the talks covered matters including trade, export controls, tariffs, and fentanyl. 

 

The context. China and the United States have repeatedly paused planned tariffs as high as 145 percent on Chinese goods and 125 percent on U.S. goods since May. Earlier this month, tensions surged as China announced broad curbs on rare earth exports, prompting the United States to threaten the additional 100 percent tariff on Chinese products. Trump has made de-escalating trade tensions a facet of his current trip through Asia, announcing deals over the weekend that create pathways for certain goods from Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam to be exempt from tariffs. Those four countries made commitments that included critical minerals cooperation and the removal of trade barriers. 

 
 

“China has a gun to the head of [U.S. manufacturers], but we have similar tools. Scaling capacity with our allies is the best way to address these chokepoints. The current talks in Malaysia, however, suggest Beijing may have gotten the better end of the bargain while our efforts with allies and partners continue to struggle.”

—CFR expert Rush Doshi on X

 

On the Ground in Syria

A damaged portrait of former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad at a military base in Damascus, Syria, December 15, 2024.

Amr Alfiky/Reuters

Syrians in the Damascus suburb of Ghouta are rebuilding their lives after the end of the civil war, CFR expert Steven A. Cook says in this YouTube short.

 
 

Across the Globe

Argentina’s Milei strengthened. President Javier Milei’s ruling party will expand its presence in Argentina’s legislature after outpacing the main opposition alliance by a wide margin in yesterday’s midterms. The election was seen as a referendum on Milei’s pro-market economic overhaul. Ahead of the vote, the Trump administration pledged billions of dollars to back Milei’s reforms and support the Argentine peso. 

 

U.S. tariffs on Canada. Trump announced a 10 percent tariff increase on Canadian goods Saturday in response to a recent anti-tariff ad paid for by the  province of Ontario. Trump called the ad, which included an old clip of Ronald Reagan denouncing tariffs, a “hostile act.” The announcement came as Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney visited Asia to court new trade partners. A senior Canadian official wrote on social media that Canada stands ready to resume trade talks with the United States.

 

Paramilitary advance in Sudan. The paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) claimed yesterday they had captured the Sudanese city of El Fasher, one of the last cities under government control in the country’s Darfur region. Fighting in the city has left hundreds of thousands of people trapped, the UN emergency relief coordinator warned, calling for an immediate ceasefire in El Fasher and across Sudan. A militia that supports Sudan’s army said yesterday that residents of the city continued to fight.

 

Cambodia-Thailand border deal. Trump presided yesterday over the signing of a deal formalizing a July ceasefire agreement between the two countries. The deal commits both sides to withdrawing heavy weapons from their shared border and establishing a monitoring mechanism. Cambodia, which has sought to have the conflict resolved by the International Court of Justice, called it a peace deal, while Thailand dubbed it a pathway to peace.

 

Sanctions on Colombia’s Petro. The Trump administration on Friday sanctioned Colombian President Gustavo Petro, his family, and his interior minister, saying that Petro allowed drug trafficking to “flourish.” Petro vowed to fight the sanctions and maintained he had long worked to counter drug trafficking. The sanctions followed Petro’s criticism of Trump’s military campaign against alleged drug boats from Latin America.

 

ASEAN expands. Timor-Leste, Asia’s youngest country, became the eleventh member of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) yesterday. It is the bloc’s first expansion since the 1990s. Timor-Leste emerged from Indonesian occupation in 2002; the country of 1.4 million people remains one of the poorest in the region. 

 

U.S.-Brazil talks. The two countries committed to launch trade negotiations at a meeting yesterday between Trump and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Malaysia. Trump said the leaders “get along very well” and he believed the two countries could reach a deal quickly. It marked a shift in tone from Trump’s earlier criticism of Brazil and imposition of 50 percent tariffs on the country.

 

Debate over Gaza force. Israel will not accept Turkish troops as part of an international stabilization force in Gaza, Israel’s foreign minister said today. He claimed that Turkey had “a hostile approach” to Israel under the leadership of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said last week the force would need to be made up of countries that “Israel’s comfortable with.”

 
 

Much Ado About Maduro

President Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela greets his supporters during a rally to commemorate Indigenous Resistance Day on October 12, 2025 in Caracas, Venezuela.

Jesus Vargas/Getty Images

International allies may be reluctant to support Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro in the face of U.S. pressure, but his grip over the country remains tight, CFR expert Will Freeman tells CFR President Michael Froman for The World This Week.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Trump begins a trip to Japan.

  • Today, United Kingdom Prime Minister Keir Starmer is visiting Turkey.

  • Today, the Future Investment Initiative begins in Saudi Arabia.

  • Tomorrow, Hurricane Melissa is expected to make landfall in Jamaica.
 
 

Shelling, Drones, and Hunger in El Fasher

A desk bearing signs of shelling in a school where displaced people are sheltering in El Fasher, Sudan on October 7, 2025.

Mohyaldeen M Abdallah/Reuters

Regional and international actors should approach the crisis in Sudan with the urgency it demands, CFR expert Michelle Gavin writes for Africa In Transition.

 
 

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