|
 |
Thank you for being a free subscriber.. Don’t lose access. Please upgrade your subscription to Lincoln Square today with this limited-time offer.
Join us on the frontline in the battle for our rights and freedoms under the law. It's our duty as Americans to defend democracy. Together.
 |
Polling from the past week offers a mixed picture of how Americans view the ongoing shutdown and the administration behind it. On the surface, the numbers might look stable — but underneath, there’s serious erosion.
The ‘Bump’ That Isn’t
You may have seen Reuters headlines this morning claiming Trump’s approval ticked up two points since the start of the month, or CNN’s Harry Enten arguing the shutdown hasn’t hurt him much. The problem: those shifts are within the margin of error — statistical noise, not a trend.
 |
Republicans Take the Blame
In reality, the shutdown is hurting Trump — and more importantly, his party.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll found:
50% of U.S. adults blame Republicans in Congress for the shutdown
14% of Republicans blame their own party
Only 9% of Democrats blame theirs
That kind of intra-party defection is dangerous with major gubernatorial races and the midterms looming.
 |
The latest Economist/YouGov poll shows Democrats holding a 5-point advantage overall, with independents nearly twice as likely to back a Democrat over a Republican. And according to Morning Consult, Trump’s approval is underwater in every swing state — down 10 points in Virginia and 12 in New Jersey.
That’s bad news for GOP gubernatorial nominees — Winsome Earle-Sears in Virginia and Jack Ciattarelli in New Jersey — both fighting uphill in their races next month.
Healthcare: The Democrats’ Trump Card
If the shutdown is a fight about priorities, Democrats picked the right one.
A new AP/NORC poll found Trump’s approval at just 37%, his lowest mark of the term. Even more telling, 81% of Americans say healthcare is “extremely” or “very” important — and 72% (including over half of Republicans) support extending health-insurance subsidies.
Democrats have made those subsidies the heart of their shutdown stance. The numbers show the public is with them.
 |
A Subtle but Significant Shift
We may also be seeing the early notes of a political realignment.
Recent Gallup data show Americans are now 7% more likely to identify as Democrats.
 |
Even more striking: 47% say Democrats are the party best suited to keep the country prosperous — a question Republicans have led since 2012, except for a brief Democratic surge during COVID.
 |
DON’T MISS BEHIND THE NUMBERS EVERY FRIDAY WITH RICK & ANDREW WILSON!
 |
 |
|
You’re currently a free subscriber to Lincoln Square Media. For full access to our content, our Lincoln Loyal community, and to help us amplify the facts about the assault on our rights and freedoms, please consider upgrading your subscription today with this limited-time offer:
Not ready to subscribe? Make a one-time donation of $10 or more to support our work amplifying the facts on social media, targeted to voters in red states and districts that we can help flip. Every $10 reaches 1000 Americans. The Truth needs a voice. Your donation will help us amplify it.
Want to help amplify this post? Please leave a comment and tell us what you think.
| ||||||||||
