Two weeks from today, California voters will decide whether to pass Prop 50, also known as the Election Rigging Response Act.
Hi,
There’s been a lot happening on redistricting and voting rights lately, and with important elections coming up in just two weeks, we wanted to share an update on where things stand.
At the Supreme Court:
This month, the Court heard Louisiana v. Callais, a major redistricting case through which the Court could gut Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act, which protects against racial discrimination in voting.
If overturned or weakened, Republicans could dismantle congressional districts where voters of color make up the majority in states across the country. In a worst-case scenario, they could redraw maps to gain an additional 19 Republican House seats. The decision isn’t expected until next summer, but it underscores why flipping as many House seats as possible (and flipping the whole darn House for Democrats) in the 2026 midterms is so critical.
Meanwhile, in the states:
Republicans are already forging ahead with plans to gerrymander congressional maps in multiple GOP-controlled states.
- You’ve probably already heard about the new maps in Texas, which aim to net Republicans five additional U.S. House seats. There’s ongoing litigation in federal court challenging this gerrymander, which should be decided in the next few weeks.
- Today in North Carolina, the state senate approved a new congressional map aimed at giving Republicans one additional congressional seat, and the state house is expected to pass it this week. The current proposed maps would give their party an 11-3 advantage in the state’s 14 congressional districts. This would replace a map that was already gerrymandered enough to help flip the U.S. House to Republicans in 2024—and is far less fair than the 2022 court-drawn map that produced a 7-7 split. Democratic Governor Josh Stein can’t veto redistricting legislation, so we expect to see this fight to move to the courts, too.
- In Missouri, Republicans passed new gerrymandered maps last month in an attempt to net Republicans one additional seat, splitting up one of the state’s largest urban areas into different districts, while reducing the number of Black and minority voters in a current Democratic-held seat. Voters are already organizing a referendum effort to overturn the new maps.
- In Indiana, Trump and JD Vance are continuing to put pressure on lawmakers to redraw maps that could eliminate both of the state’s Democratic-held districts. So far, Republican lawmakers have resisted, but the pressure is ramping up—even while a majority of voters oppose the effort.
We’re also keeping an eye out on Ohio, which is required to redraw its maps this fall; Utah, where a court-ordered new map is waiting to be approved by the court; and states like Maryland and Illinois, where Democrats are considering redrawing their maps in response to Republican efforts.
These developments are why passing California’s Proposition 50, also known as the Election Rigging Response Act, is so important. If passed, the measure would temporarily redraw California’s congressional maps ahead of the midterms, helping mitigate redraws by Republican-controlled states, and ensuring Democrats still have a shot at flipping the House next year.
The effort in California also differs from what Republicans are doing in one important way: While new California maps would not change minority representation, the efforts in Louisiana and other Republican-controlled states would reduce minority representation.
Swing Left is going all out to make sure this ballot measure succeeds, but in an off-year election in which polls show a significant number of undecided voters, turnout will be critical.
So with just two weeks to go, please consider signing up for a phone bank shift to call California voters. The Bay Area Coalition (made up of multiple Swing Left groups!) is hosting two shifts—October 25 and November 1—so you can pick the date that works best for you.
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We’ll continue to keep you updated as things change. But for now, thank you for everything you do.
— The Swing Left Team