The study, from the National Foundation for American Policy, suggests that people entering the workforce could not counter the effects of shrinking legal immigration and crackdowns on unauthorized immigrants.

"The drop in workers could alter the nation's projected demographics and make it difficult to revive manufacturing jobs — or to attract workers in health, agriculture and energy as the population ages," Contreras writes.

The study does not take into account new actions restricting foreign workers with certain advanced skills, he notes — and the effects of such actions are playing out in real time.

Current H-1B visa holders are vanishing from the U.S. housing market, Giulia Carbonaro reports in Newsweek. They are among nonpermanent residents who are no longer eligible for mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration, with effects on overall housing demand in certain key markets, Carbonaro reports.

In California's Bay Area, some tech companies have started disqualifying candidates who require visa H-1B sponsorship, reports Ko Lyn Cheang of the San Francisco Chronicle. The Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center and University of Washington medical institutions have stopped sponsoring H-1B visas for researchers, attributing the pause to policies including the new $100,000 fee, reports Nina Shapiro of The Seattle Times.

Yesterday the U.S. Chamber of Commerce sued the administration over the fee, as Lillian Rizzo of CNBC reports. At the same time, the fee is generating new interest in potential fixes in Congress, Hailey Fuchs writes in Politico.

Welcome to Friday’s edition of The Forum Daily. I’m Dan Gordon, the Forum’s VP of strategic communications, and the great Forum Daily team also includes Marcela Aguirre, Masooma Amin, Jillian Clark, Nicci Mattey and Clara Villatoro. If you have a story to share from your own community, please send it to me at [email protected].

U.S. CITIZENS — More than 170 American citizens have been caught up in immigration sweeps, with many treated roughly in the process, Nicole Foy reports in ProPublica with photos by Sarahbeth Maney. The count likely is incomplete, Foy notes, because the government doesn’t track such cases. More recently, citizens have been detained amid enforcement operations in Chicago, Billal Rahman of Newsweek reports.

CONSUMER SPENDING — Immigration raids in major cities are disrupting key industries, but the economic impact reaches beyond the workplace to broader market activity and growth, reports Nathaniel Meyersohn of CNN Business. Unauthorized immigrants’ consumer spending was about $300 billion in 2023 alone, he reports. Meyersohn cites business struggles in Chicago, and Lauren Pozen of CBS News Los Angeles reports on similar challenges in East L.A. 

SURVIVORS — Survivors of crime are suing Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), saying that immigration enforcement actions targeting them "violate the immigration relief provisions of the Violence Against Women Act and other measures that Congress established to safeguard victims and encourage them to work with the authorities," Jazmine Ulloa of The New York Times reports. Previous ICE guidance, rescinded earlier this year, called for protection of immigrants who had experienced serious crimes, Ulloa notes. 

RESETTLEMENT SUPPORT — An Afghan family is finding community in West Des Moines, Iowa, with the support of a group of local neighbors, reports Olivia Tyler of KCCI. Arifa Zaki, the mother, had provided evacuation support to the U.S. government as the Taliban took over the country in 2021. Read more about the Zakis and their community’s support from Welcome.US. Meanwhile, three Afghan allies are suing the State Department over blocked access to Special Immigrant Visas, reports Pablo Manríquez of Migrant Insider.