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Daily News Brief

October 17, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s White House meeting, as well as...

  • The early exit of the U.S. military commander for Latin America

  • The death of a Houthi official
  • A lawsuit against Trump’s new H-1B visa fee
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Trump and Zelenskyy will discuss potential U.S. transfers of cruise missiles for Ukraine today ahead of a prospective meeting between Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump said this week that if the war is not “settled” soon, the United States might provide Ukraine with long-range Tomahawk cruise missiles, weapons Kyiv has sought in order to strike deeper inside Russia. Moscow has warned against the provision, and Trump and Putin discussed the missiles during yesterday’s call, which came at Putin’s request. Trump called that conversation “very productive” but did not provide further details.

 

Trump and Zelenskyy. Zelenskyy’s White House visit comes as Washington has stepped up intelligence support for Ukraine after Putin rejected Trump’s call for direct talks with Zelenskyy. In addition to missiles, the leaders are also expected to discuss potential U.S. energy support for Ukraine after Russian attacks depleted the country’s gas supplies ahead of winter. Ukraine has responded by hitting Russian fuel targets, a strategy the U.S. ambassador to NATO suggested this week would intensify if Ukraine had Tomahawks.

 

Trump and Putin. The two plan to meet in Budapest at a still-to-be-announced date, Trump wrote on social media yesterday. It would be their first in-person encounter since their August meeting in Alaska, which failed to yield a Putin-Zelenskyy meeting on ending the war. It would also be Putin’s first trip to a European capital in years; Hungary is currently withdrawing from the International Criminal Court, which has issued an arrest warrant for Putin. Trump said he would brief Zelenskyy today about his call with Putin. 

 
 

“Moscow can keep trading its soldiers’ lives for slow gains in the Donbas while hoping that NATO tires of the conflict…the same Russian adaptations that threaten Ukraine should be of concern to policymakers elsewhere. The Russian military will emerge from its invasion with extensive experience and a distinct vision of the future of combat, and it is sharing its experience with China, Iran, and North Korea.”

—Carnegie’s Dara Massicot, Foreign Affairs

 

AI and Geopolitics

The World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC) in Shanghai, China July 6, 2023.

Aly Song/Reuters

There are both state-level and firm-level arms races in the evolving ecosystem of artificial intelligence (AI), Cornell’s Sarah Kreps says at this Global Affairs Webinar.

 
 

Across the Globe

Southcom commander stepping down. Alvin Holsey, who has responsibility for forces in Latin America, including the campaign against drug boats in the Caribbean, will step down around a year after starting the job. U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced the move but did not provide a reason for the departure. Two unnamed sources told CNN that Holsey had raised concerns about the military operations in the Caribbean not being lawful. A Pentagon spokesperson denied that Holsey expressed reservations.

 

Houthi official killed. Yemen’s Houthi rebels announced yesterday that the group’s military chief of staff, Muhammad Abdul Karim al-Ghamari, had died from injuries sustained in an Israeli strike. They did not specify the date of the attack, though Israel targeted top Houthi leaders in August. The same strike killed al-Ghamari’s thirteen-year-old son. 

 

Madagascar coup leader sworn in. Army Colonel Michael Randrianirina was sworn in as president in a ceremony at Madagascar’s High Constitutional Court today. The African Union has suspended Madagascar and UN Secretary-General António Guterres has condemned the military coup, though other countries have offered little reaction.

 

Beijing expels military leaders. Two senior military leaders have been expelled from the military and ruling Communist Party, China’s defense ministry said today. The leaders—China’s former number two general and the military’s former top political officer—are the most senior officials removed to date in an anti-corruption push that started in 2023.

 

H-1B fee lawsuit. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce sued the Trump administration yesterday, arguing its $100,000 fee for H-1B visas was unlawful because it contravened a law passed by Congress. It’s the latest legal challenge to the new policy after a healthcare-staffing company and labor unions filed a joint lawsuit in California against the law earlier this month. A White House spokesperson said the new fees were “a necessary, initial, incremental step” to revamp the H-1B program.

 

UN resolution on Gaza. France, the United Kingdom, and the United States are working together on a draft UN Security Council resolution laying the ground for an international force in Gaza, France’s foreign minister said yesterday. Unnamed diplomats told Reuters that the stabilization force—one of the tenets of Trump’s Gaza peace plan—would not be a UN peacekeeping force funded by the body, but rather a UN-endorsed force, a framework currently being used in Haiti. 

 

French government intact. Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu survived two no-confidence votes yesterday after announcing the delay of a controversial pension reform passed in 2023. His next challenge is passing a budget for 2026, due by the end of this year.

 

Japan’s visa plans. Japan will hike visa application fees to mirror those of the United States and European governments, Nikkei reported. The policy, expected as soon as the next fiscal year, aims to capitalize on rising tourism. Japan received 21.5 million international travelers in the first half of the year, up from 17.8 million during the same period in 2024. Currently, a single-entry visa to Japan costs around $20, while a short-stay visa to the United States is $185.

 
 

Crisis Decision-Making in Practice

Hillary Clinton at a CFR event on October 8, 2025.

Don Pollard/CFR

Both intelligence assessments and a grasp of group decision-making psychology are key to understanding high-stakes foreign policy choices. Hillary Rodham Clinton, John J. Sullivan, and Keren Yarhi-Milo unpacked concrete examples at this CFR meeting.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Germany’s foreign minister visits Turkey.

  • Tomorrow, the UN Security Council resolution providing for the 2015 Iran deal is set to expire.

  • Sunday, Bolivia holds a runoff presidential election.

 
 

Tracking the U.S. Campaign Near Venezuela

Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro holds a press conference on September 15, 2025.

Leonardo Fernandez Viloria/Reuters

The U.S. military campaign that began last month against alleged drug smuggling in the Caribbean has already included multiple strikes, the Center for Preventive action explains in this conflict tracker.

 
 

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