In the meantime, the administration has made backup plans in case it loses the IEEPA case. Two other provisions of law grant the executive branch some tariff authority. Under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, the US trade representative (USTR) may launch an investigation to assess complaints of unfair trade practices such as subsidies, quotas, and intellectual property theft. Based on the findings, the USTR can recommend sanctions, including tariffs and quotas.
Similarly, under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, the president is given authority to restrict imports that threaten national security. But in both cases, there are procedures to be followed, and neither allows the president to operate on whim, as Trump has done.
On September 30, Jamieson Greer, Trump’s US trade representative, gave a trucculent speech at the New York Economic Club basically blowing off the Supreme Court. Greer declared that even if the high court were to rule that Trump’s attempted power grab of all tariff authority under IEEPA was illegal, the administration would fall back to another authority to impose tarffs, such as sections 301 and 232. “We feel very confident that the president’s trade policy … will win at the court,” he said. “And if it doesn’t, we’ll be able to have the same effect.”
In some cases, such as steel and aluminum tariffs, the USTR has been playing things by the book with hearings and findings. But unless the Supreme Court is a total patsy for Trump (which is always possible) it’s clear that the other trade laws do not permit Trump to do whatever he likes, on impulse, any more than IEEPA does.
The trade case, and other pending Supreme Court cases on such questions as his ability to fire a Federal Reserve governor or to punish universities by withholding funds, are about Trump’s attempts to rule as a dictator. As Trump becomes more extreme in his power grabs, it remains to be seen whether the Roberts Court will decide that it’s time to serve as a restraint.
The tariff case could produce a mixed verdict. In some instances involving genuinely predatory trade practices by other nations such as China, Trump is acting within his authority. In other cases, such as using “economic emergency” tariffs to punish Brazil for reasons that have nothing to do with economics, the court could rein him in. Any restraint would help. |