A SECURE MEMO FROM THE HOUSE GOP LEADERSHIP CHAIR

John,

Last month, Democrats won another special election in Arizona to further reduce our House GOP Majority.

This was always a blue district, so I’m not concerned by the victory itself. What concerns me is the margin by which the Democrat won.

While Kamala Harris won this district by 22 points last fall, preliminary data shows the Democrat carried it in the special election by nearly 40 points!

That means the Democrats almost DOUBLED their margin of victory!

The silver lining? It’s not because the Democrats are gaining any support. Instead, GOP voters simply aren’t showing up to vote the same way they did last November.

Unfortunately, what happened in Arizona isn’t an outlier, John.

The Cook Political Report reported on this same disturbing trend earlier this year:

“Republicans just can’t count on Trump’s more peripherally-engaged voters to show up when Trump isn’t on the ballot.

...across two House special elections... Democrats have been averaging 63% of Harris’s 2024 vote totals while Republicans have been averaging just 45% of Trump’s.

If that pattern were extrapolated across all 435 districts next fall, Democrats would win a whopping 279 seats — 61 more than they need for a majority.”

As House GOP Leadership Chair, one of top priorities is ensuring that we have a fully verified voter file before the midterm elections.

And at this point, I’m not looking to verify just any Republican voter…

…What’s important is verifying the ones who we can count on to show up in the midterms and vote to SAVE President Trump’s razor-thin House Majority.

That’s where you come in, John...

Please verify your voter profile and show that you are among the most ACTIVE voters that we can count on to vote to help DEFEND President Trump’s House Majority in the midterms.

Official 2025 GOP Voter Verification Survey Scope: Measuring Voter Intensity

Participant: [email protected]

Survey ID #: 175644-866

Likelihood to Vote: UNKNOWN

Thank you,

Rep. Elise Stefanik
Chairwoman of House Republican Leadership

PO Box 500 Glens Falls, NY 12801

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