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Unleash Prosperity Hotline
Issue #1367
10/09/2025
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1) New York City Is Shrinking
No, we don't mean geographically due to some phantom rising of the oceans.
We mean it's shrinking in population. The latest census data through 2024 shows the Big Apple lost more residents over the past four years than any other city in the United States.
That big negative number was even bigger before an 87,000 rebound in 2024, but if the city moves in a socialist direction, we expect another big downward population exodus. Real estate values in the city may take a big hit.
John Catsimatidis, who owns grocery stores in New York (and honorary chairman of UP) says: "A lot of New Yorkers, especially in the real estate industry, are panicking because they're afraid that if they have a billion dollars worth of real estate ... 32 days from now it might be worth half the price."
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2) America's $12 Trillion Opportunity
Congrats to former Unleash Prosperity scholar Ned Mamula for FINALLY securing Senate confirmation to run the U.S. Geological Survey. It only took EIGHT months!
Most of you have never heard of USGS, but this is the agency that has oversight of ALL mining and mapping activities throughout the country. There is no better expert in the country on this issue than Mamula.
His UP study - which will be officially released in coming days now that his cone of silence has been lifted - estimates $12 trillion of recoverable mineral resources. This includes hundreds of billions of dollars of critical and rare earth minerals in our own backyard buried in the mountains of Colorado, Montana, the Dakotas and Utah.
China has been trying to monopolize critical mineral mining around the world. Sorry Beijing - that resource dominance play has just summarily ended.
Interior Secretary Doug Burghum reiterated his pledge for a "mine, baby, mine" strategy here in America and tapping the multi-trillion dollar treasure chest right below our feet.
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3) Even Europe Reversing Green Energy Blunder
It was only two weeks ago that Ursula von der Leyen, the head of the European Union came to the Global Renewables Summit in New York to boast about the EU's green agenda: "The momentum in Europe is real.... with our Clean Industrial Deal we are helping industries innovate and adapt."
She was flying way ahead of her skis.
Earlier this week, her mad Net Zero agenda suffered a major blow when the biggest political parties in the European Parliament agreed to roll back a slew of green mandates and regulations on businesses. Politico calls it an "emerging rightward rupture that is reshaping European policymaking."
At the same time, the Trump administration is demanding the EU scrap requirements for non-EU companies to provide "climate transition plans." He's now likely to succeed.
Europe has paid dearly for its detour down the green energy economic cul de sac. Energy prices have soared in Germany, France, and Spain leading to a devastating deindustrialization.
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The next step in the Eurozone's economic rehabilitation- if it really comes to pass - is to dump Von der Leyen's presidency and her lunatic goal of achieving a 90% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by 2040.
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4) Weak Job Growth Is a Supply, Not a Demand Problem
We've previously noted that revisions in the job data keep moving downward while GDP moves in the opposite direction, an unusual circumstance that suggests AI may be powering bigger productivity gains than the initial data showed.
Apollo chief economist Torsten Sløk agrees, including an AI productivity boom as one of his three explanations for the jobs/GDP moving opposite ways paradox:
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The two other factors he notes are also HOTLINE themes: falling foreign-born employment and the reversal of huge increases in government employment that happened under Biden:
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Sløk's conclusion?
The bottom line is that the weak labor market is not due to weaker labor demand, but rather to weaker labor supply because of immigration, AI implementation and a normalization of job growth in the public sector.
In short, slow job growth is not the result of a slowing economy. Because if it were, then GDP, consumer spending and capex spending would also be slowing.
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5) Headline of the Day
From Germany, which may adopt a proposal to raise the retirement age to 73.
Warning: That idea may be coming here to "save" Social Security.
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6) The Late, Great ESPN
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