[ [link removed] ]Swing Left Most-Flippable Districts[2]Swing Left
GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks in Iowa’s 1st Congressional District
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We’re checking back in on one of the most vulnerable GOP seats in the
entire country: Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, where Rep. Mariannette
Miller-Meeks has barely hung on to power three elections in a row. It’s
long overdue to flip blue, and the momentum is on our side.
Last year, she won by just 799 votes—the slimmest GOP House victory of
2024. Donald Trump carried the district by 8 points, yet Miller-Meeks
barely squeaked by. And the first time she ran, she won by just 6 votes.
This year, she’s made herself even more politically toxic. She championed
Trump’s “One Big Beautiful Bill,” which the nonpartisan Congressional
Budget Office says will strip health care from 21,554 people in her
district.
While her constituents are demanding answers, she’s refused to hold town
halls—saying she’d hold one “When hell freezes over.”
That’s a political ad waiting to write itself. And it’s 21,544 voters who
won’t forget that she ripped their health care away and refused to face
them. In a district this close, we’ll only need a few hundred of those
voters to flip this seat.
With the right early investments and organizing, this race is winnable—and
the momentum is already shifting our way:
* Democrats flipped a state Senate seat within this district earlier
this year.
* Miller-Meeks is facing a primary challenge from the right, which means
she’ll be burning through campaign cash just to survive her own
party—opening the door for Democrats to gain ground.
* New polling shows Miller-Meeks’ approval rating underwater, and that
Democrats can win this race in a head-to-head contest.
To flip this seat—and the House—to Democrats, we need to invest early
across all 22 of Swing Left’s target districts: the most flippable red
seats and the must-hold blue ones that will decide control of Congress.
That’s why Swing Left is laying the groundwork right now—raising money for
the eventual Democratic nominees to give them the edge they need to win in
2026.
[ [link removed] ]Will you split a donation of $25 between Swing Left and
all 22 of our House candidate funds, including the one in Iowa’s 1st
District, to help flip the House back to Democrats?
[ [link removed] ]Donate $25 Now
Races
like this show just how much your support matters. When elections are
decided by a few hundred votes, we have the power to change the outcome.
Together, we can flip this seat—and the House along with it.
Thank you for everything you do,
The Swing Left Team
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