From Swing Left <[email protected]>
Subject This red Arizona seat just got more flippable
Date October 4, 2025 4:00 PM
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[ [link removed] ]Swing Left Most-Flippable Districts[2]Swing Left



Open Seat in Arizona’s 1st Congressional District

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Some important news out of Arizona:

GOP Rep. David Schweikert is leaving Congress to run for Governor—making
one of the closest House seats in the country even more flippable for
Democrats.

After barely scraping by in his last two elections and facing mounting
backlash from voters, he knew he couldn’t win another race in this
incredibly close swing district.

While in office, Schweikert took over $270,000 in illegal campaign
donations, voted to block health care for veterans exposed to toxic
substances, and proudly backed gutting Medicaid—calling concerns about it
“whining and bedwetting.” He’s unpopular, and he saw the writing on the
wall.

Now Republicans are scrambling. This open seat just became an even greater
pickup opportunity for Democrats. Independent analyst Inside Elections
just moved it from “Tilt Republican” to “Toss-Up.”

Here’s what makes this swing district (Arizona’s 1st) so competitive:

* In 2024, Trump won the district by 3 points—but Democrat Ruben Gallego
carried it by 5 in his successful Senate race the same year.

* Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs and Senator Mark Kelly both won here
in 2022.

* It includes blue-leaning Phoenix and swing suburbs like Scottsdale.

* And now, it’s an open seat with no clear Republican frontrunner.

We expect that control of the House next year will come down to only a few
seats. That means this district could make the difference in whether
Democrats can flip the House and put a real legislative check on Donald
Trump and the MAGA agenda—but only if we take advantage of this moment.

[ [link removed] ]Will you make a donation of $25, or whatever feels right,
to help flip this seat and win other key swing House districts? Your
donation will be split between Swing Left and all 22 of our target House
races, including this one.

[ [link removed] ]Donate $25 Now

Early funding and organizing win races like this one. Arizona’s primary
isn’t until August 2026, giving the eventual Democratic nominee less than
three months to shift from the primary to taking on the Republican in this
race.

By donating now, you’ll help ensure the eventual Democratic nominees in
each of our target swing districts will get a much-needed infusion of cash
as soon as their primaries are over—allowing them to hit the ground
running on day one.

The Swing Left community has made the difference in close races before.
With your help, we can do it again.

Thank you for everything you do.

— The Swing Left Team







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