Hello Capitalists,

Here is everything you should be following today:

• Federal Government shuts down as Dems vote against last minute spending bill

• Trump eyes work force reductions as 750K are furloughed

• Washington Post fears Democrats have walked into a trap

• Shock NYT poll shows cratering support by Dems for the shutdown

• Prediction markets expect a 2 week shutdown

• Ultra Rich investors race to Gold, Bitcoin and AI stocks

• Meta to let its ads spy on users AI interactions

Today’s markets:

• ✅ DOW: 46406.51 (⬆️0.02%)

• ✅ S&P: 6695.35 (⬆️0.10%)

• ✅ NASDAQ: 22704.23 (⬆️0.20%)

• ⚠️CBOE VIX Volatility Index: 16.23 (⬇️0.31%) - ⬇️

Shutdown Chaos: Trump gears up to play hardball as Congress deadlocks

The U.S. government plunged into a partial shutdown at midnight Wednesday after Democrats blocked a Republican funding bill in the Senate, leaving thousands of federal workers furloughed and active-duty troops without pay amid bitter partisan clashes over Obamacare subsidies.

• Trump Vows Irreversible Retaliation: President Trump threatened “irreversible” cuts to Democratic-favored programs during the shutdown, as GOP leaders like Senate Majority Leader Thune decry Democrat hostage tactics on the $1T spending bill.

• Democrats Demand Subsidies Extension: Furious Senate Democrats insisted on renewing enhanced Obamacare subsidies expiring at the end of 2025, rejecting short-term funding without them.

• Mass Furloughs Grip Agencies: Up to 750,000 workers face daily furloughs with Trump and OMB Chair rumored to be planning to use the shut down to accelerate cuts to government agencies.

• Senate Votes Persist Endlessly: Republicans plan continuous CR votes through the coming days to keep up the pressure on Democrats to pass the spending bill.,

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Voters Slam Dem Shutdown Threat!

As the government shutdown grips the nation, a New York Times/Siena College poll reveals 65% of registered voters urged Democrats not to force a federal closure over their unmet demands. The Democrat strategy even got called out by the Washington Post Editorial Board

• Democrat Voters Huge Split: The survey of 1,313 voters from Sept. 22-27 shows only 47% of Democrats support the shutdown, with 43% of Democrats opposed to it. while independents (32%) and Republicans (5%) largely reject it.

• Dems lose ground with independents: Only 32% of Independent voters and 5% of Republicans were in favor of the shutdown.

• Healthcare Credits at Stake: Democrats demanded Obamacare tax credit extensions be included in the funding bill so as to cut healthcare costs, but Republicans balked, fearing it boosts coverage for undocumented migrants, leading to the funding impasse.

Two weeks of gridlock? Prediction markets say yes

Prediction markets forecast a U.S. government shutdown lasting nearly two weeks aligning with historical data going back 35 years.

• Markets Predict Prolonged Standoff: Kalshi forecasts an 11.1-day shutdown duration, pushing a theoretical resolution date to mid-October.

• Polymarket Odds Favor Delay: The highest probability (38%) for the government reopening is October 15 or later, with 23% for October 6-9 and just 14% for quick fix by October 3-5.

• Historical Shutdowns Average 14 Days: Bank of America data shows typical closures since 1990 last about two weeks, often with minimal S&P 500 dips of 1% gain on average.

• Economic Ripples Threaten Markets: Extended closure risks weighing on the economy and acting as a drag on record-high stocks, amplifying pressure on lawmakers to compromise swiftly.

Ultra Rich make a dash for Gold, Bitcoin and AI ETFs for safety

The world’s ultra-wealthy are surging into exchange-traded funds (ETF’s) for gold, bitcoin and artificial intelligence amid economic turbulence and policy shifts, a new Goldman Sachs report reveals, with investors favoring these vehicles for hedging and thematic bets as gold hits record highs above $3,820 an ounce.

• Gold surges as safe haven: Ultra-rich investors flock to leveraged gold miner ETFs, posting 632% and 348% yearly gains, fueled by Fed rate cuts and looming U.S. government shutdown risks.

• Bitcoin ETFs explode in popularity: Crypto holdings via ETFs like iShares Bitcoin Trust balloon to $87 billion, propelled by Trump-era pro-digital policies, despite bitcoin’s dip from $124,000 peak.

• AI funds ride tech boom: Over half of family offices channel 52% of AI investments through ETFs, with top performers like Roundhill and VistaShares soaring 50% and 46% on generative tech frenzy.

• ETFs trump direct buys: Wealth managers prefer ETFs for targeted risks over broad accounts, blending hedging strategies with high-conviction themes in volatile markets.

Meta’s AI BETRAYAL: Meta Ads will spy on users chats with Meta AI agent

Meta announced Wednesday it will begin using users’ interactions with its AI digital assistant to personalize ads and content across Facebook, Instagram and Messenger starting Dec. 16, with notifications rolling out Oct. 7 as part of its push to fuse generative AI with its advertising empire.

• Massive User Base: Meta AI boasts over 1 billion monthly active users, amplifying the reach of data-driven ad targeting across its ecosystem.

• No Escape Option: Users cannot opt out of the AI-influenced recommendations, though non-interactors remain unaffected.

• Voice Input Included: Typed and audio chats, even via Ray-Ban Meta glasses, will feed into personalized feeds and promotions.

• WhatsApp Exemption: Private messages stay excluded unless accounts link to other Meta apps, preserving some separation.