John,
In Iowa earlier this year, special elections returned 20+ point swings to Democrats. Dems flipped a ruby red state senate seat in Pennsylvania.
In April, two GOP stronghold Florida congressional races moved 14 and 16 points left. Then Democrats flipped a New York state senate district that Trump won with 77% of the vote — Dems won by over 35%, representing a massive shift away from MAGA.
Just this week, another overperformance in Iowa: a conservative state senate seat flipped from red to blue with a 22 point swing away from Trump.
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