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Unleash Prosperity Hotline
Issue #1337
8/27/2025
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1) More Crime = Fewer Jobs in Cities
Trump is threatening to send National Guard troops into high-crime cities like Chicago.
The policy has been highly controversial. Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson and Illinois Governor JB Pritzker insist they don't want the troops walking the streets and arresting criminals.
If the Mayor and Governor want to make Chicago great again, they might want to embrace the tough-on-crime strategy.
A study by Sanjai Bhagat, a professor of finance at the University of Colorado, finds that cities with high crime rates have subsequent higher rates of poverty and lower rates of employment. The relationships are statistically significant.
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These findings really aren't surprising - unless you're a progressive mayor of a big city, like Johnson. Crime repels employers and higher-income families.
Professor Bhagat's recommendations to mayors and city councils make a lot of sense to us:
"Focus on ensuring respect for private property rights, an effective police force, prosecutors willing to enforce the rule of law, and fair courts; this will enhance economic prosperity of your citizens and diminish poverty in your cities and state."
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2) A Two-State Solution
Yes, redraw the lines and make East California a separate state.
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3) Chart of the Day - Coal Is Still King
We’ve made this point many times, and now others are picking up on the message. Over the past decade, the United States has retired over 100 gigawatts of coal-fired electricity generating capacity... while China has added about 300 gigawatts. And this was supposed to fight global climate change?
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4) Poor Paul Krugman - Forgotten But Not Gone
Does anyone remember Paul Krugman?
The professor who was awarded a Nobel Prize in economics (for being wrong?) and a longtime provocateur/columnist at The New York Times.
Then he got fired.
Now he's yesterday's news, and so he sadly orbits around the blogosphere without much of an audience.
Krugman's litany of economic fallacies and false predictions spans his more than 40+ year career.
He said the Internet's impact on the economy would be no greater than the fax machine.
He says that the reason the South has surpassed the North in economic growth isn't due to lower taxes, less regulation, or right-to-work laws in states like Florida and Texas, but rather "because of air conditioning." Seriously! You can look it up.
He predicted that Donald Trump's policies would cause a second Great Depression and that the stock market would crash and never recover.
Here's what happened instead:
Over the years, he has been a serial critic of your HOTLINE editors. He writes columns with clever titles like "Moore Is Less" that accuse Steve of "incompetence" and "lying." If you ever saw the Pink Panther movies, he's like Chief Inspector Charles Dreyfus whose eye starts twitching every time Inspector Clouseau's name is mentioned. Dreyfus is eventually placed in an insane asylum.
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We bring all this back up now because Krugman's eye is twitching again. After Steve's recent meeting with President Trump in the White House, Krugman seethed in his social media post that our data is "all wrong" and that "Stephen Moore... may be the last person on the planet you'd trust to tell you the economic truth."
Does that include Krugman himself?
We must be doing something right to still be making Krugman this unhinged after all these years!
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5) Mail-In Ballot Insecurity
Our longstanding worries about ballot fraud with mail-in votes were heightened this week, when a federal appeals court ruled on Tuesday that a Pennsylvania requirement for mail-in ballots with missing or incorrect dates to be tossed out is unconstitutional. The court, in our opinion, ruled ridiculously that the state's date requirement for mail-in ballots violated the Civil Rights Act, along with the First and 14th Amendments.
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"The date on a mail ballot envelope thus has no bearing on a voter's qualifications and serves no purpose other than to erect barriers to qualified voters exercising their fundamental constitutional right to vote," a group led by Democratic superlawyer Marc Elias argued.
The federal appeals court didn't agree with that argument, saying the date requirement imposed a "minimal burden on Pennsylvanians' right to vote," and that the requirement is "non-discriminatory." But the court nonetheless found that none of the state's reasons for the rule "justified the burden the date requirement imposed."
The court's ruling is extremely concerning. Last year, mail-in ballots threatened to overturn the victory of Republican Dave McCormick in Pennsylvania's crucial US Senate election. The Bucks County Board of Elections voted 2-1 along party lines to accept hundreds of ballots that were either undated or lacked a proper date. Several other counties almost followed its lead, until a public uproar forced them to stand down.
Some 30% of votes cast in the 2024 presidential election were mail-in ballots. States such as California, Oregon, Washington and Colorado conduct their elections entirely by mail. Mail-in ballot rules are consistently being relaxed with states such as New Jersey, California and Nevada now automatically mailing ballots to every registered voter on their notoriously error-prone and inaccurate rolls.
We should be tightening the rules for mail-in-ballots to ensure fair and safe elections. The courts are relaxing them in ways that invite fraud.
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6) Hear No Evil
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