John,

Last month, I wrote to you to warn you about the looming partisan intensity gap that could cost Republicans the midterm elections.

So far in 2025, Republicans have averaged just 45% of President Trump’s vote totals, while the Democrats have averaged 63% of Kamala Harris’s!

If that holds true for the midterms, Republicans won't just lose the House majority…

We’d lose in a historic landslide!

Now, I don’t want to fully sound the alarm just yet. There are a lot of reasons to believe that gap won’t hold true when voters go to the polls next November.

But voter complacency is undoubtedly the single biggest threat to President Trump’s House majority (and therefore, his America First agenda).

Given what we’re seeing in special election results, I wanted to personally follow up with you to ensure that your voter records are fully verified.

Remember, simply verifying voters isn’t enough…

We need to verify the Trump voters who will ALSO show up in the midterms to help SAVE his House majority!

Are you one of those voters, John?

If so, please take just a minute to verify your voter profile and show that you are among the most ACTIVE voters so that we can close this troubling partisan intensity gap.

Official 2025 GOP Voter Verification Survey Scope: Measuring Voter Intensity

Participant: [email protected]

Survey ID #: 175644-866

Likelihood to Vote: UNKNOWN

Status: INCOMPLETE

Thank you,

Kellyanne Conway

John,

As the former Trump Campaign Manager, I was relentlessly ATTACKED on live TV for predicting that President Trump would win the White House.

But I didn’t care. Because my commitment will always be to the truth. I will always follow the numbers no matter what.

That’s why I sincerely hope you take what I’m about to tell you very seriously.

And no – I promise you it’s not just another report on the Democrats’ sky-high fundraising numbers. It’s about real polling, real data, and a real trend that could become a big problem if it’s not addressed immediately.

From Cook Political Report: “Republicans just can’t count on Trump’s more peripherally-engaged voters to show up when Trump isn’t on the ballot.

So far in 2025, the partisan intensity gap looks awfully similar to the one at this point in 2017.

...across two House special elections... Democrats have been averaging 63% of Harris’s 2024 vote totals while Republicans have been averaging just 45% of Trump’s.

If that pattern were extrapolated across all 435 districts next fall, Democrats would win a whopping 279 seats — 61 more than they need for a majority.”

I think we can let out a collective sigh of relief that Rep. Elise Stefanik chose to withdraw her nomination for U.N. Ambassador so as not to trigger yet another House special election!

Not only that, as House GOP Leadership Chair, Elise has been working hard to make sure our voter file is up to date!

But now we need to slightly change course. It’s no longer just about simply verifying voters. It’s about verifying which voters we can truly count on to show up…

…It’s about verifying that the Trump voters who show up in presidential years ALSO show up in the midterms to save the House. It’s about CLOSING the “partisan intensity gap.”

Because if we do not… Democrats will have a 279-seat House majority. I cannot even begin to fathom what that would look like.