Daily News Brief
June 29, 2020
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Top of the Agenda
Reports: Russia Offered Bounties to Kill U.S. Troops in Afghanistan
Russia offered bounties to Taliban-linked militants (NYT) for killing coalition forces in Afghanistan, including U.S. troops, according to multiple media reports citing U.S. officials.

The bounties are believed to have resulted in the deaths (WaPo) of several U.S. service members. The reports came as the United States draws down its troop presence (WSJ) in the region as part of a deal negotiated with the Taliban. President Donald J. Trump tweeted that U.S. intelligence did not find the information credible and therefore did not report it to him or Vice President Mike Pence, despite reports of a high-level White House meeting on the issue in March. Russia and the Taliban denied the bounty program. 
Analysis
“Assuming [the intelligence is] good, officials not telling Potus re Russian actions would be bad; Trump not acting worse. But another question: Why would Putin bother to do this as Feb 2020 US-Taliban [deal] has Trump administration on path to near-unconditional withdrawal from Afghanistan?” tweets CFR President Richard N. Haass.

“What should we do to Russia if they offered bounties to kill US military in Afghanistan?  Publicize our intel widely; no G7 membership; cut diplomatic relations broadly; sanction [President Vladimir Putin and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov] personally; use cyber to retaliate. This is big casino if true. Must step up,” tweets Admiral James G. Stavridis.

This CFR Backgrounder looks at the Taliban in Afghanistan.

Pacific Rim
China Responds to U.S. Visa Restrictions
Beijing announced that it will impose visa restrictions (SCMP) on U.S. officials who behave “egregiously” with regard to Hong Kong after U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced visa restrictions on Friday for Chinese officials who undermine Hong Kong’s autonomy. China’s legislature could soon pass a new national security law for Hong Kong that has been condemned by the United States.

CFR’s Jerome A. Cohen explains the new national security law.

Australia: A lawmaker under investigation for allegedly being influenced by Chinese government agents has denied wrongdoing (SMH). He was suspended from the Labor Party and took a leave from Parliament.

South and Central Asia
Gunmen Killed After Attacking Pakistan Stock Exchange
Four armed militants killed at least three people (Dawn) and injured seven others during an attack on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Karachi. Police killed all four assailants.

Middle East and North Africa
Libya’s Haftar Mobilizes Mercenaries
Libyan rebel commander Khalifa Haftar is mobilizing thousands of foreign mercenaries (Al Jazeera) in preparation for a battle over the city of Sirte. Libya’s UN representative called on the United States and the European Union to impose sanctions on those supporting Libya’s armed groups.

This In Brief explains who’s who in Libya’s war.

Lebanon: A judge ordered the media to stop interviewing the U.S. ambassador (WaPo) to Lebanon after she criticized Hezbollah, which holds political office in the country but is considered a terrorist group by the United States. She accused the group of blocking economic reforms and siphoning government funds amid Lebanon’s economic crisis.

Sub-Saharan Africa
Opposition Leader Wins Malawi’s Presidential Election
Lazarus Chakwera was sworn in as the new president of Malawi (BBC) after defeating the incumbent, Peter Mutharika, in last week’s election rerun. Chakwera lost last year’s election, which Malawi’s constitutional court overturned in February.

Ethiopia: Egypt, Ethiopia, and Sudan are close to an agreement on an Ethiopian dam (Al Jazeera) on the Nile River that has been the subject of a decade-long dispute.

Europe
EU to Bar U.S. Travelers Due to Coronavirus
EU diplomats agreed to accept travelers from more than a dozen countries—but not the United States (NYT)—when the bloc reopens its borders on Wednesday. The list of permitted countries is still subject to approval by EU member states, but is not expected to change.

Poland: President Andrzej Duda won the first round (Politico) of the country’s presidential election on Sunday and will face Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski in the final round on July 12. 

Americas
World Bank: Coronavirus Jeopardizing Decades of Poverty Reduction in Latin America
Two decades of work to reduce poverty in Latin America could be lost (FT) due to the coronavirus pandemic, said the World Bank’s vice president for the region. The International Monetary Fund has predicted that the pandemic will hit Latin American economies hardest.

Mexico: Mexico City police chief Omar Garcia Harfuch was wounded during an attempted assasination (El Universal) that left three others dead. Harfuch blamed members of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) for the attack.

United States
Mississippi to Replace State Flag
The state of Mississippi will get a new flag (NYT) after lawmakers voted to retire the current design, which features the Confederate emblem, amid a national reckoning with systemic racism. It was the last state flag to feature the Confederate symbol.
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