In early 2021, as the world grappled with pandemic uncertainty, a different kind of frenzy was unfolding online. On Reddit forums and crypto exchanges, retail investors poured savings into Dogecoin—a cryptocurrency born as a meme, featuring a Shiba Inu dog. Its price skyrocketed 12,000% in months, turning modest investments into small fortunes for some. This was no isolated phenomenon but a hallmark of “altseason,” a period when alternative cryptocurrencies, or altcoins, outshine Bitcoin with explosive price gains. As Bitcoin’s dominance wanes in 2025, whispers of another altseason are stirring. What drives this cyclical fever, and what does it reveal about the volatile, speculative world of cryptocurrency? Altseason, shorthand for “altcoin season,” refers to a phase in the cryptocurrency market when altcoins—any digital currency other than Bitcoin—experience significant price surges, often outperforming Bitcoin in growth and market attention. Unlike Bitcoin, which commands nearly 60% of the crypto market’s $2 trillion valuation as of July 2025, altcoins like Ethereum, Solana, and even meme-driven coins like Dogecoin thrive on innovation, hype, or both. Altseasons are fleeting but intense, driven by investor shifts from Bitcoin’s relative stability to the high-risk, high-reward potential of smaller coins. They reflect a speculative hunger, where fortunes can be made or lost in weeks. Historically, altseasons follow a predictable rhythm, often trailing Bitcoin’s bull runs. In 2017–2018, Bitcoin’s dominance plummeted from 86.3% to 38.69% as the Initial Coin Offering (ICO) boom fueled altcoin mania. Projects like EOS, which raised $4 billion, and Tezos, securing $232 million, saw massive gains as investors chased the next big blockchain innovation. According to CoinMarketCap, the altcoin market cap surged by $470 billion during this period. The 2020–2021 altseason, spurred by the pandemic’s economic upheaval, saw altcoins double their market share from 30% to 62%. Dogecoin and Shiba Inu became cultural phenomena, with the latter spiking 5,000% in weeks, per CoinGecko data. More recently, early 2023 witnessed a surge in Layer-1 and Layer-2 solutions like Polygon, aimed at improving blockchain scalability, with some tokens jumping 200–300%. A message from our sponsor (piece continues below) Kick back and relax with Cornbread’s premium, legal, THC productsCornbread Hemp crafts all-natural THC-infused products that address the full scope of Americans’ wellness needs: **relief **when they need it, **relaxation **when they crave it, and **revelry **when the moment is right. Speaking of revelry, their newest product, THC Seltzers are the perfect low-calorie, fast-acting, and guilt-free way to laugh louder, dance longer, and savor good company. They're perfect for parties or porch hangs—a feel-good celebration to be shared. Looking for products you can consume discreetly? Try their fan-favorite gummies. (Piece continues) What signals the dawn of an altseason? A primary indicator is a decline in Bitcoin dominance, measured as its share of the total crypto market cap. When Bitcoin’s dominance drops below 50%, as it did in 2017 and 2021, capital often flows into altcoins, seeking higher returns. The Altcoin Season Index, a tool tracking the top 50 altcoins’ performance over 90 days, signals an altseason when 75% outperform Bitcoin. In August 2025, the index sits at 41, suggesting altcoins are gaining but not yet in full swing. Bitcoin’s market dominance has dipped below 60% driven in part by a massive surge in Ethereum to $4,700, with price targets for it being raised to $7,500. Rising trading volumes also hint at an approaching season, as investors flock to exchanges like Binance, driving liquidity into altcoins. Social media buzz, particularly on platforms like X, amplifies this momentum—posts in early August 2025 predicted an altseason starting August 5, citing patterns like the “double bottom” in altcoin charts. Beyond metrics, altseasons are fueled by sentiment and innovation. New blockchain projects, like decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms or non-fungible token (NFT) ecosystems, often ignite investor excitement. In 2020, DeFi’s rise—think protocols like Uniswap—pushed altcoin prices skyward. Regulatory shifts also play a role; the EU’s 2024 MiCA rules, which clarified crypto regulations, boosted confidence in altcoins. Yet, these seasons are double-edged. Volatility is rampant, with some altcoins crashing as swiftly as they rise. Scams, like “pump and dump” schemes, proliferate in unregulated markets, preying on FOMO-driven investors. For those eyeing altseason’s opportunities, caution is paramount. Diversifying across altcoins—mixing large-cap coins like Ethereum with smaller, riskier ones—spreads risk. Technical analysis, such as monitoring exponential moving averages or breakout patterns, can guide entry and exit points. In 2024, altcoins like Solana neared all-time highs, gaining 150% in weeks, while smaller tokens saw gains as high as 150,000%, per CoinMarketCap. Yet, the same data shows that many later crashed, underscoring the need for stop-loss orders and disciplined strategies. Researching project fundamentals—team, technology, and use case—is critical to avoid frauds masquerading as innovation. What does altseason’s recurrence reveal about our digital age? It’s a microcosm of speculative capitalism, where hope, greed, and innovation collide. Each season reflects broader trends: the 2017 Initial Coin Offering craze mirrored tech startup fervor, while 2021’s meme coin surge tapped into internet culture’s absurdity. As 2025 unfolds, with Bitcoin hitting new all time highs and altcoins stirring, the question isn’t just whether an altseason will erupt but what it says about our appetite for risk in an uncertain world. Will we chase the next Dogecoin, or will we demand substance behind the hype? The answer may shape not just portfolios but the future of digital finance itself. You're currently a free subscriber to The Capitalist. For the full experience, upgrade your subscription. |