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FRASER UPDATE
A weekly digest of our latest research, commentary, and blog posts
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Latest Research
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Stimulus spending will not ‘kickstart’ economy, will increase government deficits and debt
Is Fiscal Stimulus an Effective Policy Response to a Recession? finds that new government spending in response to the recession will likely have little effect on economic growth in Canada—but will produce more government debt.
Read More [[link removed]]
Automatic increases in generosity of Canada’s Employment Insurance program will add to Ottawa’s deficit and risks discouraging work long-term
Extended Employment Insurance Now Open to All: Atlantic Canada’s Warning for Other Provinces finds that as unemployment rates increase and Canada’s employment insurance (EI) program automatically becomes more generous and accessible, many more people are now qualifying for much more generous benefits. This will add to Ottawa’s financial pressures and also risks increasing long-term unemployment, as was experienced in Atlantic Canada.
Read More [[link removed]]
Commentary and Blog Posts
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Alberta’s outsized role in Canada matters for all Canadians [[link removed]]
(Appeared in the Globe and Mail) by Tegan Hill and Jason Clemens
Albertans contributed $2.9 billion more to the CPP than they consumed in 2017.
IPCC uses worst-case scenario to exaggerate emission forecasts [[link removed]]
(Appeared in the National Post) by Ross McKitrick
Since the 1980s, ranges of projection were systematically too high.
Government reforms may expand role of charter schools in Alberta [[link removed]]
(Appeared in the Edmonton Sun) by Ben Eisen
Charter schools can offer different types of programming and teaching techniques.
P.E.I government debt could balloon this year [[link removed]]
by Jake Fuss and Alex Whalen
The province's net government debt may rise 17 per cent in 2020/21.
Equalization is broken and needs fixing now [[link removed]]
(Appeared in the National Post) by Ben Eisen, Tegan Hill, and Steve Lafleur
The fiscal capacity gap between “have” and "have-not" provinces has shrunk from 27 per cent to 6 per cent.
Ottawa tweaks regulations for Newfoundland and Labrador’s oil and gas sector [[link removed]]
by Ashley Stedman and Alex Whalen
While the regulatory change is welcome news, significant reforms are still required to restore investor confidence.
Atlantic Canadians rely on programs that rely on Albertans [[link removed]]
by Alex Whalen, Tegan Hill
In 2019, equalization represented 15.5 per cent of provincial revenue in Nova Scotia.
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