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Let’s start with some good news: Trump’s awfulness seems to be breaking through to, well, just about everyone, but particularly with Independents. See that dotted line? That’s dragging down the green line, which is a pretty big deal.
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And even that tiny dip in the red line has meaning. Those are Republicans, as you can see. The MAGA base has historically been rock solid for Trump — which I don’t need to tell you. The stability of the Trump base has been the story of the last decade, starting with his claim that he could shoot someone and his people wouldn’t care.
Maybe MAGA thinks some people probably deserve to get shot by Trump? Who knows? But it’s harder to make the case that the young women victims of Epstein, Maxwell, and Trump deserved their abuse. In fact, it’s impossible to make that case.
The MAGA stomach appears to be churning at the possibility that their guy is a pedophile. Who would have thought that a cult leader would ever turn out to be a bad person with ill intentions?
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You can see that stomach-churning here, as well. Nearly a third of his base thinks he was either involved in crimes committed by Jeffrey Epstein, or they just don’t know. A feature of MAGA has never been uncertainty. Is Trump the Second Coming of Christ? Yes, certainly. Was the 2020 election stolen? Of course. Is Bill Gates implanting microchips in libs’ bodies to track them? That goes without saying.
But this scandal is too real, too dark, and too absolutely obvious for them to get behind. For MAGA, answering “Not sure” on a survey about whether or not Trump is guilty of a crime is as good as saying “Yes.”
There is other good news this week, too. Rick Wilson and Andrew Wilson talk about Roy Cooper in NC, our increasingly rosy outlook for ‘26 and … dare we say … ’28?
Check out their conversation above, and if you like it, share it. Lincoln Square is growing in leaps and bounds. Did you know we are #25 on the Bestsellers in U.S. Politics list after just four months on Substack? It’s because of discussions like Behind the Numbers with Rick and Andrew …
… But mostly it’s because of you.
Share. Like. Love. Subscribe. And remember to leave a comment! We love to hear from you!
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