Panic! Everything's bad! Give me money!!That's the formula for online political fundraising. Campaigns send out lots of emails with little regard for how it damages our political system.
If you’ve ever gotten a political fundraising email, you’ll recognize that kind of subject line. Having been a candidate for Congress a few years ago, I got to see firsthand how text and email fundraising works. It’s seedy, bad for our political system, and involves more lying and predatory behavior than most people realize. At the bottom of this email, I’ve offered some thoughts on what you can do to protect yourselves and spare your inboxes.
There’s no such thing as “The Democrats”A line I heard once that I really like: people conceive of political parties as marching bands, but they’re really more like music festivals. There’s not a conductor telling everyone how to act, what to say, and what not to say. There’s sort of an organizing committee via the DNC, but every candidate, advocacy group, and state party can communicate however they’d like. To complete the metaphor, everyone has their own stage. Likewise, people think of “the Democrats” as a monolithic institution, with a master list of donors whose email addresses and phone numbers they give out. How it actually works: individual campaigns¹ are free to message whoever they want, with any message they want, and with whatever frequency they want. All of this sets up a tragedy of the commons. Every campaign is acting rationally by trying to communicate with (and raise money from) people as much as they possibly can. But politics suffers because people are spammed with frequent, low-quality, sensationalist, dishonest, and largely indistinguishable messages. The same thing is happening on the Republican side, even if the messaging itself is different. Campaigns in both parties are guilty here. How your information gets traded and soldIf you’ve ever wondered why it’s so hard to get your name off of email lists after you’ve donated money or even if you’ve just signed up to volunteer, here’s why. For most campaigns, buried deep in their privacy agreement is the right to trade or sell your information however they want. They can sell their list of emails to generate more money for their campaign; they can buy them from other campaigns to try to raise money from new people.² Here’s a screenshot of an email I got from a campaign that was interested in selling me their email addresses. It’s a pretty good reflection of how this stuff works.³ This campaign was offering me hundreds of thousands of email addresses and phone numbers. That’s a small fraction of the full political universe, where there’s contact info for tens of millions of people. This is how your info gets passed around, and why you end up receiving text messages like these, from candidates and campaigns you’ve never heard of. Text/email fundraising sets up totally misaligned incentivesSaid another way, no one here has any incentive to be a good steward of either people’s contact information or of Democratic messaging generally.
Notably: email vendors and ActBlue have much stronger incentives to help campaigns raise money than to help campaigns win votes. This is, for a host of reasons, bad. Why?
Messaging in text/email fundraising is all terribleThe Archive of Political Emails is a wonderful resource, because it tells you what people are receiving in their inboxes. A couple of recent examples, first from Democrats and liberal groups: And also from Republicans and conservative groups:
You know what undecided voters care about? It’s not a MAGA super PAC and it’s not James Comey. The three things that swing voters cared about most in the 2024 presidential election: the economy, immigration, and social security/Medicare. These emails push extremism and actively make it harder to win more undecided voters. They advance a narrative that politics isn’t about helping people, but that it’s about tearing the other guy down. And reading these emails, maybe that narrative is right. A lot of email fundraising is just a griftHere are a few examples of that:
I wrote last time about how hard it is to contextualize large numbers, but: $10+ million is an extraordinarily large amount of money for an unwinnable U.S. House race. The average winner of a House race spent $2.79 million in 2022.⁷ Marcus Flowers raised and spent nearly 6× that. Beyond any of that, though, are all of the outright lies. No, JD Vance is not opening up a direct line of communication with you. A lot of emails are written to frighten people into action. For example: The email on the left won’t get you a $5,000 refund check. It’s a fundraising email from Randy Fine, a Congressman in Florida. And as for the email on the right, no, that’s not how party memberships work. It’s not even from the GOP—it’s from Nate Morris, who’s running for the U.S. Senate in Kentucky. Both Morris and Fine are trying to bamboozle people into giving them money. What can you do about all of this?Because I was a candidate in ’22, I’ve been a beneficiary of this system; it’s brought me a lot more exposure than I’d ever otherwise have. But I look back with regret; I’m embarrassed by emails sent in my name. It was a lot of the same crap that I’m annoyed about every time it lands in my inbox. It took leaving that world to understand how bad and embarrassing the whole setup is. In hindsight, I would’ve rather raised a little bit less money and held onto a little more dignity. Here are my thoughts on what you can do about this:
There’s already too much mistrust in politics. Emails and texts from both political parties make it worse, and we should do what we can to knock down a system that drives extremism and misinformation. Feel free to share this post with someone who will find this interesting. If you’re reading this email because someone sent it to you, please consider subscribing. 1 This is a pretty broad term that could include candidates running for office, ballot measures, advocacy groups building support, etc. 2 “Swaps,” where a campaign trades emails with another campaign, are also quite common. (For example: a Candidate A in Virginia might give a Candidate B in Pennsylvania 1,000 email addresses for Pennsylvanians on their list, and in return, Candidate B would give 1,000 emails to Candidate A for people in Virginia. All of that would be totally cost neutral.) 3 To be really precise here: this is a screenshot of two separate emails that I received. I have combined them into one email for three different reasons:
Nothing about the text has been edited, nor does it change any of the substance. But I want to be clear that it’s not a verbatim email. For context on what everything in that screenshot means:
4 It’s even higher than Square, which charges 2.9% per transaction (plus a fixed 30¢ per-transaction fee). I don’t know the exact structure of WinRed, the Republican equivalent of ActBlue, but I think it’s substantially the same. 5 Maybe this one is just wishful thinking on his part. 6 I’m not linking to sources here, because it includes people’s names and home addresses. Bulk data is available here from the Federal Elections Commission, which makes all of this sort of information public. I dusted off my long-dormant SQL knowledge to analyze 100+ million rows of data, which is my source for the stats above. 7 Right here in Missouri, Jess Piper raised nearly $300,000 for a State House race she lost by more than 50%. Like Marcus Flowers’ race, that’s an extraordinarily large amount of money for an unwinnable Missouri State House race. 8 Because ActBlue doesn’t take that 3.95% cut, which adds up over the course of a campaign that raises millions of dollars. 9 Relevant to all of this: I set up the ActBlue link in a way that campaigns didn’t get your email or cell information. |