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AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

New AEI Public Opinion Survey

An Uncertain Public Mood

July 12, 2025

The results of the 2024 election and the first months of Donald Trump’s presidency have done little to dispel the apathy and distrust Americans feel toward politics. In a new survey of over 6,000 adults, Director of the Survey Center on American Life Daniel A. Cox sheds new, and worrying, light on Americans’ social connections and public attitudes.

 

 

This darker public mood is matched by prevailing political rhetoric that emphasizes division, fear, and victimhood. In a new essay for The New York Times, Thomas Chatterton Williams traces how pessimistic identity politics displaced the post-racial optimism of 2008, especially in younger generations.

 

One of Cox’s most striking findings is that 54 percent of Americans now support mass deportation of illegal immigrants, up from 32 percent in 2016. In a new AEI Economic Perspectives report, AEI economist Stan Veuger and coauthors provide the first comprehensive estimate of the economic consequences of our nation's aggressive anti-immigration policies.

 

The Democratic Party and the news media are finding themselves increasingly out of step with public opinion, not just on immigration but also on climate and energy issues. Using data from a 2024 AEI Energy/Climate Survey of over 3,000 registered voters, Roger Pielke Jr. and Ruy Teixeira reveal the gulf between prevailing narratives and Americans’ actual attitudes toward climate change, fossil fuels, and the green energy transition.

 

On July 3, Freedom of Information Act requests revealed the Trump administration’s legal rationale for its continuing refusal to enforce the TikTok ban. Department of Justice veteran and AEI constitutional law expert Jack Landman Goldsmith details the unprecedented assertion of executive power.

Amicus Brief in VOS Selections v. Trump

On July 31, the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit will hear oral arguments on the legality of the Trump administration’s imposition of tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). AEI economics scholars, including Stan Veuger and Michael R. Strain, collaborated with leading economists to submit an amicus curiae brief to the court providing expert economic perspective. Through close analysis of the statutory text, current trade conditions, and the administration’s stated logic, the brief explains why the existence of trade deficits do not constitute an economic emergency under the IEEPA. Furthermore, even if they did, the tariffs cannot meaningfully address this issue, as the IEEPA requires. As a result, the brief concludes that the tariffs lack the necessary legal justification.

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QUOTE OF THE WEEK

Just as Trump took the handcuffs off of the U.S. military in the battle against ISIS during his first term, he should take the handcuffs off of the Ukrainian military today. If Ukraine begins striking blows against Russia with the help of U.S. arms, it will show Putin that he cannot achieve his objectives.

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