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When two things seem linked but aren't: Understanding different types of correlations
Key Takeaways • Not all correlations mean that one thing causes the other. Some correlations are real but misleading. Others are simply due to chance. Understanding which is which can help you avoid common reasoning errors—and make better decisions. • There are five common types of correlations. Only one involves a direct causal link. The others include spurious patterns (flukes), reverse causation, confounding variables, and feedback loops, each with different implications for how we interpret
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WorkWorkWorkWorkIs There Still Time to Be Hopeful About the Climate? - The New Yorker (No paywall) For the past five years, a red digital clock the size of a bus, attached to a building in New York Citys Union Square, has been counting down to zero. Climate Clock, the group that installed it, describes the time that remainsabout four yearsas the most important number in the world. It represents humanitys shrinking opportunity to limit global warming to a long-term average of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit). Earth is already hot enough that climate disasters are spreading and intensifying; in the past week, deadly heat waves have broken records, and flash floods have killed more than a hundred people in Texas. But it will get worse. The U.N.s committee of top climate scientists, the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (I.P.C.C.), warns that every additional tenth of a degree makes forecasts more dystopian: megastorms escalate, sea levels rise more sharply. And so, in the Paris Agreement, nearly every nation on Earth agreed to work toward the 1.5-degree target. Climate Clock called it a point of no return.
WorkA Syrian death factory gives up its secrets - WSJ (No paywall) Once a month, around midnight, the guards at Saydnaya Prison would call the names of the condemned, usually dozens at a time. They wrapped nooses around their necks, then dragged tables from beneath their feet with a scraping that echoed through the building. Those in nearby cells heard a gagging sound as the men choked to death. WorkWorkTsukudani and hot rice: A go-to meal in Japan for centuries A father and son in Tokyo are continuing the centuries-old tradition of making tsukudani, a preserved Japanese food. At their factory-turned-shop, they cook tuna, seaweed and other ingredients in soy sauce, sake, and sugar, following methods passed down for generations. Tsukudani remains a staple of Japanese cuisine centuries after it was created in the Tsukuda neighborhood of Tokyo, from which the dish gets its name. Rice is tsukudani's best pairing. Tsukudani is a prime example of how Japan, despite its high-tech modernity and an economy driven by global corporates like Toyota and Sony, maintains traditions passed down over generations, much of them through small businesses. Work
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WorkWorkWorkWorkWhat Trumps Good English Remark Really Reflects In his first term, Trump angered the continents leaders and public when he reportedly referred to Haiti and African nations as sh-thole countries. Amid blowback, Trump denied using the specific phrase, while Democratic Senator Dick Durbin of Illinois, who was present in the closed-door meeting where the remark was supposedly uttered, told media at the time that Trump made hate-filled, vile and racist comments and he said them repeatedly.
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WorkWorkWorkWork WorkInside OpenAIs empire: A conversation with Karen Hao - MIT Technology Review (No paywall) In a wide-ranging Roundtables conversation for MIT Technology Review subscribers, AI journalist and author Karen Hao spoke about her new book, Empire of AI: Dreams and Nightmares in Sam Altmans OpenAI. She talked with executive editor Niall Firth about how she first covered the company in 2020 while on staff at MIT Technology Review, and they discussed how the AI industry now functions like an empire and what ethically-made AI looks like. WorkWorkWork
WorkDid Shakespeare Write Hamlet While He Was Stoned? William Shakespeare was in danger of being canceled. He was a big fan of -mind-altering -drugs-especially cannabis. But the Church of England looked down on live theater because of its "unwholesome... WorkWorkWorkDo we have to take climate risks into our own hands now? In 2023, my husband and I bought our house in southwest Colorado, in part, because it backed up to open space. That was the dream: trails just past the fence, a scrubby network of oak and sage stretching out into the hills beyond. But a little over a year into homeownership, I was questioning the wisdom of living so close to a burnable landscape.
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WorkWorkWorkDemocrats and climate groups 'too polite' in fight against 'malevolent' fossil fuel giants, says key senator Nevertheless, Whitehouse is optimistic that climate denial won't prevail forever. "Once this comes home to roost in people's homes, in their family finances, in really harmful ways, that [will be] motivating in a way that we haven't seen before around this issue," he said. "And if we're effective at communicating what a massive fraud has been pulled on the American public by the fossil fuel industry denial groups, then I think that's a powerful combination." WorkWorkPandemic-era slump in ivory and pangolin scale trafficking persists, report finds A recent report surveying seizures of pangolin scales and elephant ivory over the past decade has found a sharp decline following the COVID-19 pandemic. Using data from media reports, public documents, and criminal intelligence and investigations, analysts at the Wildlife Justice Commission (WJC) found authorities seized more than 370 metric tons of pangolin scales and [...] WorkThe best cheap Windows laptops for 2025 Windows also gives you the ability to download and use programs from other sources, like direct from the developer. You can run things like Adobe Creative Suite, certain VPNs and programs like GIMP, Audacity and ClipMate on a Windows device, which just isn’t possible on Chrome OS. Chromebooks limit you to the apps and programs in The Play Store and the Chrome Extensions store, reducing any others to unusable, space-sucking icons in your Downloads folder |
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