The worst-case scenario for global energy security would be an Iranian-imposed physical cutoff of oil and gas shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, the only seaborne connection to global markets from the Persian Gulf. On an average day, nearly 15 million barrels of crude oil pass through the strait.

SOURCE: "How War with Iran Could Disrupt Energy Exports at the Strait of Hormuz" by CSIS's Clayton Seigle.

China remains the European Union’s second largest trade partner after the United States, with an average daily trade of $1.5 billion

SOURCE: "How NATO Can Support the United States in Asia" by CSIS's Iselin Brady and Daniel Byman.

Due to new licensing rules for exports to China—the largest importer of U.S. ethane—overall U.S. ethane exports are projected to fall by nearly 30 percent by late 2026.

SOURCE: "New Ethane Export Controls Will Harm U.S. Producers" by CSIS's Philip Luck.

Google has reported that at least 57 state-backed hacking groups—including those from China, Iran, North Korea, and Russia—are using AI to advance cyberattacks and information operations.

SOURCE: "AI Security Strategy and South Korea’s Challenges" by CSIS's Sunha Bae and So Jeong Kim.