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Friend,
As the former Trump Campaign Manager, I was relentlessly ATTACKED on
live TV for predicting that President Trump would win the White House.
But I didn’t care. Because my commitment will always be to the
_truth_. I will always follow the numbers no matter what.
_That’s why I sincerely hope you take what I’m about to tell you
very seriously._
AND NO – I PROMISE YOU IT’S NOT JUST ANOTHER REPORT ON THE
DEMOCRATS’ SKY-HIGH FUNDRAISING NUMBERS. IT’S ABOUT _REAL_
POLLING, _REAL_ DATA, AND A _REAL_ TREND THAT COULD BECOME A BIG
PROBLEM IF IT’S NOT ADDRESSED IMMEDIATELY.
From _Cook Political Report_: “Republicans just can’t count on
Trump’s more peripherally-engaged voters to show up when Trump
isn’t on the ballot.
So far in 2025, the partisan intensity gap looks awfully similar to
the one at this point in 2017.
...ACROSS TWO HOUSE SPECIAL ELECTIONS... Democrats have been averaging
63% of Harris’s 2024 vote totals while Republicans have been
averaging just 45% of Trump’s.
If that pattern were extrapolated across all 435 districts next fall,
Democrats would win a whopping 279 seats — 61 more than they need
for a majority.”
I THINK WE CAN LET OUT A COLLECTIVE SIGH OF RELIEF THAT REP. ELISE
STEFANIK CHOSE TO WITHDRAW HER NOMINATION FOR U.N. AMBASSADOR SO AS
NOT TO TRIGGER YET _ANOTHER_ HOUSE SPECIAL ELECTION!
_Not only that, as House GOP Leadership Chair, Elise has been working
hard to make sure our voter file is up to date!_
But now we need to slightly change course. It’s no longer just about
simply verifying voters. It’s about verifying which voters we can
truly count on to show up…
…IT’S ABOUT VERIFYING THAT THE TRUMP VOTERS WHO SHOW UP IN
PRESIDENTIAL YEARS ALSO SHOW UP IN THE MIDTERMS TO SAVE THE HOUSE.
IT’S ABOUT CLOSING THE “PARTISAN INTENSITY GAP.”
Because if we do not… Democrats will have a 279-seat House majority.
I cannot even begin to fathom what that would look like.
SO PLEASE, VERIFY YOUR VOTER PROFILE AND SHOW THAT YOU ARE AMONG THE
MOST ACTIVE VOTERS SO THAT WE CAN CLOSE THE VERY TROUBLING PARTISAN
INTENSITY GAP.
[[link removed]]
OFFICIAL 2025 GOP VOTER VERIFICATION SURVEY SCOPE: MEASURING VOTER
INTENSITY
PARTICIPANT:
[email protected]
SURVEY ID #: 175644-866
LIKELIHOOD TO VOTE: UNKNOWN
STATUS: INCOMPLETE
VERIFY YOUR RECORDS >>
[[link removed]]
Thank you,
[[link removed]]
Kellyanne Conway
Paid for by Team Elise, a joint fundraising committee authorized by
and composed of Elise for Congress and E-PAC. www.elisestefanik.com
PO Box 500 Glens Falls, NY 12801
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