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The Daybreak Insider
Tuesday, June 24, 2025
1.
Trump Announces Ceasefire in Israel-Iran War

President Trump: CONGRATULATIONS TO EVERYONE! It has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a Complete and Total CEASEFIRE (in approximately 6 hours from now, when Israel and Iran have wound down and completed their in progress, final missions!), for 12 hours, at which point the War will be considered, ENDED! Officially, Iran will start the CEASEFIRE and, upon the 12th Hour, Israel will start the CEASEFIRE and, upon the 24th Hour, an Official END to THE 12 DAY WAR will be saluted by the World… would like to congratulate both Countries, Israel and Iran, on having the Stamina, Courage, and Intelligence to end, what should be called, “THE 12 DAY WAR.”  (Truth). The region respects a strong horse. Mark Dubowitz: When America shows overwhelming power, the mullahs back down. Show weakness — they escalate. Now comes the real test: don’t fall into the trap at the negotiating table, where they’ve outplayed us many times before (Dubowitz).

2.
Iran Violates Ceasefire
Times of Israel: Between 10 and 15 ballistic missiles were launched from Iran in six salvos this morning, according to IDF assessments. Most of the missiles were intercepted, and one struck an apartment building in Beersheba, killing at least three and wounding others (Times of Israel). Avi Mayer: Israel’s response to this morning’s Iranian missile attacks—the latest of which violated the ceasefire announced by President Trump—is going to be ferocious. (Mayer).

3.
Iran’s Mullahcracy Showing Signs of Collapse
The question is whether the ceasefire will substantially prop them up. Nouriel Roubini: Iranians face skyrocketing inflation, collapsing real incomes, mass poverty, and even hunger not because of US and Western sanctions but because of their rulers’ nonsensical policies. A country that could have been richer than any Gulf oil state is near bankruptcy, owing to the regime’s corruption, incompetence, and strategic recklessness…. Iranians face skyrocketing inflation, collapsing real incomes, mass poverty, and even hunger not because of US and Western sanctions but because of their rulers’ nonsensical policies. A country that could have been richer than any Gulf oil state is near bankruptcy, owing to the regime’s corruption, incompetence, and strategic recklessness (Project Syndicate). Victor Davis Hanson: The West has waited nearly 50 years for the supposedly restive Iranian street to rise up. There is a more likely—but still only marginal—chance that second-tier generals would do so. They know their superiors are being killed off by the Israelis. And they do not wish to be next on the roster. The public will soon fault the military for its humiliating impotence and incompetence exposed by this losing war. And some generals may wish to distance themselves from and blame a losing regime… Given these failures of the incompetent regime, the surviving command may wish to redirect public ire from themselves onto the theocrats. And that may be the only possible way of ending this evil regime and the ruin it has brought everything it has touched (Free Press).

4.
Supreme Court Allows Trump Administration to Continue Deportations to Third Party Countries
The move pauses a move by a Massachusetts judge prohibiting the administration from sending immigrants to countries other than their home country. New York Times: The pause allows the administration to send men held at an American military base in Djibouti on to South Sudan while their court case plays out. The court’s three liberal members dissented (New York Times). SCOTUS Blog: The Supreme Court on Monday granted the Trump administration’s request and put Murphy’s order on hold while the government’s appeal moves forward. As is often the case with orders on the court’s emergency appeals docket, the court did not provide any reasoning for its ruling, nor did the justices who signed on to the ruling publicly identify themselves; we know only that at least five justices voted to pause Murphy’s order (SCOTUS Blog).

5.
Immigration Numbers Down to Lowest Level in Four Decades
The analysis of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Current Population Survey (CPS) data is from January to May. Center for Immigration Studies: The decline was caused by a falloff in the number of non-citizens from Latin America who arrived in 1980 or later, a population that overlaps significantly with illegal immigrants. We preliminarily estimate that the number of illegal immigrants has fallen by one million since the start of the year, perhaps due to their leaving in response to President Trump’s election and stepped-up enforcement efforts…. Based on the CPS, published figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show that the number of foreign-born individuals in the labor force declined by 601,000 from January to May 2025. Our analysis of the raw data shows the total foreign-born population, both in and out of the labor force, declined 957,000 from January to May 2025. This is one of the largest declines over a 4-month period in the foreign-born in the last three decades, but it is not unprecedented (CIS).

6.
Biden Admin Released Alarming Numbers of Iranian Nationals Into Country
Daily Signal: Border Patrol agents reportedly released hundreds of Iranian nationals into the U.S. during President Joe Biden’s time in office, drawing national security concerns as military tensions escalate. The Biden administration arrested 1,504 Iranian nationals during fiscal year 2021 through fiscal year 2024, releasing 729 of these individuals into the country, according to Customs and Border Protection data obtained by Fox News. The newly released data follows U.S. military airstrikes against three Iranian nuclear facilities, sparking vows of retaliation from the Islamic regime (Daily Signal). Fox News report: (Fox).

7.
Democrats: Dead Flat Broke and in Disarray
New York Sun: The blue party is drowning in red ink, in the latest sign of the Democrats’ disarray. The party’s chief fund-raising body is losing big donors, press reports say, and money is so short that leaders are weighing a loan “just to keep the lights on,” as the New York Post puts it. The financial debacle suggests the difficulty Democrats face in responding to the juggernaut of the Trump presidency as the party faces internal roadblocks to moving back to the center. “Bleak” is how the Times characterizes the party’s plight…. The Democratic National Committee’s “war chest,” per the Post, stands at less than $18 million — about a quarter of what’s on hand at GOP headquarters. Intramural quarreling is part of what ails the party….  More broadly, though, it’s hard to avoid the sense that the problem facing the Democrats is a refusal to chart a more centrist course after several years of tilting leftward (New York Sun). CNN: The Republican Party’s main fundraising arm has nearly five times the cash on hand of its Democratic rival, new campaign reports show, underscoring the troubles faced by the Democratic National Committee and its embattled chairman, Ken Martin. The RNC entered June with about $72.4 million in cash reserves, nearly five times the $15 million stockpiled by the DNC, as the two parties gear up for gubernatorial races this fall and next year’s costly midterm elections for Congress. The wide gap – revealed late Friday in filings with the Federal Election Commission – follows a tumultuous few months for Martin and the DNC that included a public feud with the party’s former vice chair. The party’s cash crunch is serious enough that party officials have weighed seeking a line of credit to help it stay afloat, a development first reported by The New York Times (CNN).

8.
Illinois Legislature Pushing Bill to Regulate Homeschooling
Illinois Family Institute: Illinois wants to make home schooling difficult. Illinois State Representative Terra Costa-Howard (D-Lombard) introduced HB 2827 in the Illinois General Assembly in February. Among other things, the Homeschool Act would require home-school families to register and give the state Board of Education power to demand more information or impose further restrictions without the legislature. Despite over 50,000 witness slips and six to eight thousand families showing up in opposition, HB 2827 passed committee. Sponsors say HB 2827 is about safety and ensuring all children receive the best education, but really, it’s a divide over who owns children: parents, or the government (Illinois Family). Latasha Fields—a homeschool leader in Chicago: One of the most powerful statements from the current homeschooling movement is, ‘We don’t co-parent with the government.’ This bill is a direct attack on that idea. It’s the government saying, ‘Yes you will. Even at home.’ … One reason homeschooling is so prevalent now is COVID opened a lot of eyes – not only to some of the educational shortcomings in public schools, but also to the idea that you can actually do it – you can homeschool. This bill is a direct attack on people recognizing that. It’s an attempt to say, ‘You can never really leave. We’re still in charge of your kids’ (Illinois Policy).

9.
Will New Yorkers Elect a Socialist? Mayoral Primary Today

With the socialist Zohran Mamdani surging in the polls, the Chicago Tribune issues a warning: “A familiar dilemma: a moderate, business-friendly Democrat versus a democratic socialist. New Yorkers, take it from Chicago — we’ve seen this movie before, and the ending isn’t pretty,” the board of one of the last remaining big-city daily newspapers cautioned. “Johnson’s approval rating cratered in his second year — a reflection of how quickly progressive promises collapsed under the weight of governance and Chicago’s financial reality,” the paper wrote. “What sounded good in theory has translated into dysfunction, driven by fiscal missteps and political inexperience (New York Post). A look at the fraudulent accents of Mamdani: (X). Polls are wide-ranging and New York has the inane ranked-choice voting, so we’ll have to wait and see what happens (New York Times).

10.
Trump Decision on Iran Supported by 90 Percent of His Voters
“This data proves that Tucker Carlson’s kooky hatred of Israel is a fringe view held only by mentally unstable podcasters and pay-to-play influencers” Free Beacon: Ninety percent of President Donald Trump’s voters support the U.S. strikes that decimated Iran’s nuclear program, according to a new poll, undercutting media claims that the attack set off a “MAGA civil war.” The GrayHouse poll, conducted in the immediate wake of the Saturday strikes and obtained by the Washington Free Beacon, shows that 76 percent of Trump voters strongly support the attack, compared with 14 percent who somewhat support them. Eighty-four percent of respondents, meanwhile, agreed that the strikes were “limited military actions, not war.” Eighty-two percent called the attack “a smarter, more limited operation that can achieve U.S. objectives without leading to a wider war.”… “This data proves that Tucker Carlson’s kooky hatred of Israel is a fringe view held only by mentally unstable podcasters and pay-to-play influencers,” the staffer said (Free Beacon).

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