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Daily News Brief

June 10, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering Russia’s intensified attacks on Ukraine, as well as...

  • U.S.-China trade talks
  • Growing support for a marine biodiversity treaty
  • Italy’s failed referendum on citizenship
 
 

Top of the Agenda

Russia launched major drone barrages across Ukraine for two consecutive nights, while Ukrainian drone attacks prompted flight suspensions at Moscow airports. Russia’s drone onslaught into Monday morning was the largest of the war and caused damage at a military airfield. The offensives come after Russia warned it would retaliate for Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russian airfields earlier this month—and as the countries began a prisoner swap amid slow-moving peace talks.

 

On the battlefield. 

 

  • Overnight into Monday, Russia launched 479 drones and twenty missiles at Ukraine, damaging a military airfield in the country’s west, Ukraine’s air force said. Overnight into this morning, Russia launched 315 drones, it said. Most were shot down on both days. The governor of Odesa said two men were killed after an attack hit medical and residential buildings, including a maternity ward. 
  • Overnight into this morning, Ukrainian drone strikes caused a temporary suspension of flights at four airports serving Moscow and airports in ten other cities, including St. Petersburg, Russia’s civil aviation authority said.
  • The two countries swapped an undisclosed number of prisoners yesterday, an initial step in a prisoner exchange agreed to at last week’s Istanbul talks. 

 

The diplomatic front. After the Istanbul talks revealed a large gap between Russia and Ukraine’s positions on ending the war—and U.S. President Donald Trump has shown little sign of spending more to arm Ukraine—Kyiv’s other Western backers have stepped up their military readiness.

 

  • Canada will spend 2 percent of its GDP on defense this fiscal year, five years ahead of a previously-announced target, Prime Minister Mark Carney said yesterday. Canadian officials have also held talks about procuring more of their military equipment from the European Union (EU); yesterday, Carney said Canada was “too reliant on the United States.” 
  • NATO chief Mark Rutte called yesterday for a 400 percent increase in the alliance’s air and missile defense production and said he expects member countries to greenlight a large spending hike at a Netherlands summit later this month. 
 
 

“Washing [Trump’s] hands of the largest land war in Europe since World War II is proving to be a rather thorny proposition...Amid this deadly back and forth and the Trump administration’s diminishing appetite for European security affairs, Europe’s major continental powers and smaller front-line states are endeavoring to rearm in a bid to achieve some measure of strategic autonomy and provide additional support to Ukraine.”

—CFR President Michael Froman, The World This Week

 

How Tariffs Are Affecting the U.S. Economy

U.S. President Donald Trump holds a chart next to U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick as Trump delivers remarks on tariffs in the Rose Garden at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 2, 2025.

Carlos Barria/Reuters

The administration’s trade policies appear to be increasing the likelihood of both higher inflation and labor market cooling, the Federal Reserve’s Lisa D. Cook said during CFR’s C. Peter McColough Series on International Economics.

 
 

Across the Globe

U.S.-China trade talks. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said today that a second consecutive day of bilateral trade talks in London was “going well.” Yesterday, White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett said he expected the talks to lead to the easing of U.S. controls on some semiconductor-related exports and Chinese controls on rare earth exports.

 

Momentum for ocean treaty. Eighteen additional countries ratified a treaty on protecting marine biodiversity in international waters yesterday. Known as the High Seas Treaty, it proposes a process for regulating activities like deep sea mining and a framework for funding ocean protection. The new countries joined during a UN oceans conference in France, bringing the total number of ratifications to forty-nine. The treaty is now only eleven countries short of the sixty it needs to take effect. 

 

WHO alert on mpox. Mpox remains a public health emergency of international concern, top World Health Organization (WHO) official Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said yesterday. The ongoing outbreak was first declared a global health emergency last August. As of June 2, there was sustained human-to-human transmission in nine African countries and cases have been reported in 122 countries globally, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said. 

 

Italy citizenship vote fails. A referendum vote that could have expedited the naturalization process for Italian citizenship and strengthened labor rights failed due to insufficient turnout. Only around 30 percent of registered voters participated, short of the required majority for it to be valid. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s coalition had called on people to boycott the vote and celebrated its result as an affirmation of their restrictive immigration policies.

 

Marines in Los Angeles. The Trump administration ordered the deployment of seven hundred Marines to Los Angeles yesterday following protests, over objections from Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom, who called the move a “provocation.” Newsom and the State of California sued Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth earlier yesterday in response to a Sunday deployment of the National Guard. 

 

El Chapo’s sons sanctioned. The U.S. Treasury Department yesterday announced sanctions on two fugitive sons of imprisoned drug boss Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán, as well as on a faction of his Sinaloa cartel known as “Los Chapitos.” Washington announced an up to $10 million reward for information on either son, both of whom are thought to be in Mexico. The country’s foreign ministry did not immediately comment.

 

Israel intercepts aid ship. Israeli authorities intercepted a Gaza-bound ship carrying activists and humanitarian aid yesterday. Israel said it would send the passengers back to their home countries. The activists oppose Israeli restrictions on aid at the enclave’s land borders as well as the nearly two-decade-old Israeli naval blockade of Gaza, which Israel says aims to prevent weapons smuggling. 

 

Taiwan espionage indictment. Taiwanese prosecutors charged four people with spying for China yesterday, including two former senior political aides. One of the defendants worked in President Lai Ching-te’s office and another worked for Taiwan’s former foreign minister. Reuters was not immediately able to locate their legal representatives for comment. 

 
 

Trump Plays With Fire in Los Angeles

Members of the California National Guard stand in a line, blocking an entrance to the Federal Building, as demonstrators gather nearby, during protests against immigration sweeps, in Los Angeles, California, U.S. June 9, 2025.

Leah Millis/Reuters

The history of using the U.S. military domestically is not good. Using restraint in L.A. is essential, CFR expert Max Boot writes for the Washington Post.

 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, India’s foreign minister visits the European Commission in Brussels.
  • Tomorrow, Poland holds a vote of confidence in Premier Donald Tusk’s government.
  • Tomorrow, Sri Lanka’s president begins a visit to Germany.
 
 

The Hole in Mexico’s Security Strategy

A member of the army standing guard in Mexico City, May 2025

Quetzalli Nicte-Ha/Reuters

U.S. pressure could help generate the political will in Mexico to finally begin punishing collusion with cartels, CFR expert Will Freeman writes for Foreign Affairs.  

 
 

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