The Evening: One Million Russian Casualties, U.S. to Have Slower Growth, Truckin’, and More

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Good Evening,

It's Tuesday, June 3rd.

Troop Casualties in Ukraine War Near 1.4 Million, According to CSIS Study

Nearly one million Russian troops have been killed or wounded in the country’s war against Ukraine, according to a new study by CSIS. The study also said that close to 400,000 Ukrainian troops have also been killed or wounded since the war began. That would put the overall casualty figure, for Russian and Ukrainian troops combined, at almost 1.4 million, as the NYT reports

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U.S. to Have Slower Growth, Higher Inflation Due to Tariffs, OECD Says

President Trump’s tariff regime threatens to significantly crimp U.S. economic growth this year while boosting inflation, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said in a new forecast that sharply cut its outlook, as the WSJ reports

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U.S. Proposes Interim Step in Iran Nuclear Talks Allowing Some Enrichment

The Trump administration is proposing an arrangement that would allow Iran to continue enriching uranium at low levels while the United States and other countries work out a more detailed plan intended to block Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon but give it access to fuel for new nuclear power plants, as the NYT reports

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Executive Education

Sharpen your ability to lead, manage, and communicate in high-stakes environments with the CSIS Accelerator Series

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. Over six months, participants build critical skills in hands-on seminars led by CSIS experts and top coaches. For the 2025 program, CSIS is offering a reduced tuition rate for displaced federal employees. Learn more and apply by June 4

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Audio Briefs

CSIS now offers audio versions of our latest analysis. Listen to the latest Critical Questions by CSIS's Victor Cha and Andy Lim, "South Korea’s New President: Frying Pan to Fire

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In That Number

1 million

Russia is projected to reach the 1 million casualty mark in Ukraine by summer 2025.

Source: CSIS

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Critical Quote

“This massive, outrageous, pork-filled Congressional spending bill is a disgusting abomination.”

—Elon Musk

iDeas Lab

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Russian military forces have failed to effectively advance along multiple axes in Ukraine, seized limited territory, lost substantial quantities of equipment relative to Ukraine, and suffered remarkably high rates of fatalities and casualties since January 2024, according to new CSIS data. Read the full analysis here.

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The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and multimedia.

Optics

(Photo credit: Security Service of Ukraine/Handout/Anadolu/Getty Images.) Ukraine's Security Service claimed it carried out a special operation targeting the underwater support structures of the Crimean Bridge, causing severe damage in Crimea, Kherson Oblast, Ukraine, on June 3, 2025.

Recommended Reading

"Russia's Battlefield Woes in Ukraine

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" by CSIS's Seth G. Jones and Riley McCabe.

This Town Tomorrow

At 10:00 a.m.

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, the CSIS Economic Security and Technology Department welcomes California Institute of Technology President Thomas Rosenbaum to discuss the importance of scientific research at U.S. universities.

Also at 10:00 a.m.

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, the CSIS Missile Defense Project, Project on Nuclear Issues, and Aerospace Security Project hold a conversation on future U.S. missile defense programs.

Later, at 1:00 p.m.

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, the CSIS Brzezinski Chair in Global Security and Geostrategy's Commission on Hostage Taking and Wrongful Detention explores ways to combat state hostage taking.

Video

Today, the CSIS Korea Chair provided in-depth analysis of the results of South Korea’s presidential election. Experts discussed South Korea’s new president, the foreign policy challenges facing the incoming administration, and the implications of the election for U.S.–ROK relations and the broader Indo-Pacific region. Watch the full video here.

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Podcasts

Dr. Tom Christensen, Columbia University professor, former White House official, and new CSIS Pritzker Chair, joins the podcast to discuss U.S. strategic competition with China and how we should reframe our thinking about it.

Listen on Spotify

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& Apple Podcasts

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Smiles

Another standout track from the Grateful Dead’s 60th anniversary album, “The Music Never Stopped,” is one of the band’s signature tracks—“Truckin.’” This energetic performance

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was culled from a July 1989 show at Deer Creek Music Center in Indiana. Of course, I really love the late ’80s version of the Dead.

I invite you to email me at [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed by Lauren Adler, Ava Rose, and the External Relations team.

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Connect w/ H. Andrew Schwartz



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