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Daily News Brief

May 15, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering a showdown over Russia-Ukraine talks in Turkey, as well as...

  • New U.S. positions on chip exports

  • Funding cuts at the World Health Organization

  • Qatar’s investment pledges

 
 

Top of the Agenda

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenksyy arrived in Turkey today ahead of scheduled Russia-Ukraine talks in Istanbul, while Russian President Vladimir Putin stayed away. Zelenskyy said the lower-level delegation that Moscow planned to send looked like a “theater prop.” Putin suggested the talks over the weekend as a counterproposal to a ceasefire and U.S. President Donald Trump had encouraged Zelenskyy to attend. 

 

The latest. 

 

  • While Zelenskyy and Trump previously both said they were open to attending the talks, Trump backed out after Putin said that he would skip them. 
  • Some members of Russia’s team of envoys took part in unsuccessful talks with Ukraine to stop the war in 2022. 
  • NATO foreign ministers discussed the talks at an informal meeting earlier today in the Turkish city of Antalya, where Turkey’s foreign minister called them a “window of opportunity.”
  • A Russian foreign ministry spokesperson said today that Moscow’s position had changed since June 2024, when Putin said that Ukraine must withdraw troops from all of four regions claimed by Russia. 
  • Zelenskyy said that he would meet with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in Ankara and then determine next steps.

 

The context. 

 

  • The talks would be the first direct meeting between Russia and Ukraine since the early days of the war. They come amid mounting doubts from the Trump administration about Putin’s interest in ending the conflict. 
  • Kyiv’s European allies, meanwhile, have prepared a new package of sanctions on Moscow in case it does not take satisfactory steps toward peace. They supported Ukraine’s call for a thirty-day ceasefire, which Putin has rebuffed, arguing the countries should reach a full settlement instead.
 
 

“The name of the game at the moment is for both sides to signal their support for a ceasefire and thus remain in President Trump’s good graces, while not actually making any meaningful concessions. It has become increasingly apparent, especially to the Trump administration, that Russian President Vladimir Putin is the main obstacle to progress. Despite growing pressure to negotiate, Putin shows no inclination to bring the fighting to an end. Nor is there any indication that President Zelenskyy of Ukraine is willing to compromise on his critical red lines. So, the best that we can hope to come out of any talks at this stage is a commitment to enter into a regularized process of negotiation, which may ultimately yield an agreement.”

—CFR expert Paul B. Stares tells the Daily News Brief

 

How Trump Can Reset His Failed Ukraine Policy

Then-U.S. President Donald Trump attends a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin during the G-20 summit in Osaka, Japan, on June 28, 2019.

Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images

If Trump wants to succeed as a peacemaker, it would make more sense for him to test the proposition that more pressure on Moscow could help end the war, CFR expert Rebecca Lissner and the Brookings Institution’s Philip H. Gordon write for Foreign Policy.

 
 

Across the Globe

Chip export rules. The Trump administration withdrew a Joe Biden-era rule due to take effect today that would have divided countries into three tiers for access to U.S. artificial intelligence chips. Certain countries would have faced stricter controls. The move came after the Trump administration issued guidelines earlier this week that said using Chinese tech company Huawei’s most advanced chip anywhere in the world without a U.S. license would violate U.S. export controls. 

 

Qatar’s airplane order. The country will order up to 210 Boeing aircraft, and Trump secured deals worth more than $243.5 billion during his trip to Qatar, the White House said yesterday. Those include deals regarding drones and quantum technologies. Meanwhile, Trump’s potential plan to accept a Qatari-donated plane for Air Force One prompted concern that Qatar could bug it, Bloomberg reported. 

 

WHO cutbacks. The World Health Organization (WHO) has cut its management team by half and will further reduce operations due to a funding shortfall, its director said yesterday. The U.S. exit from the organization is due to be finalized by next January. The WHO’s proposed 2026–2027 budget includes a 21 percent reduction; it will ask members to increase dues at a meeting next week.

 

Trump says Iran deal is close. Washington and Tehran are “getting close” to making a nuclear deal, Trump said today in Qatar. He added that Iran had “sort of” agreed to terms. Yesterday, a top adviser to Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei told NBC that Iran would commit to never making nuclear weapons, eliminate highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and agree to inspections in exchange for sanctions relief. 

 

Peru cabinet shakeup. President Dina Boluarte fired her finance minister and saw her prime minister resign yesterday, which triggered the dissolution of the entire cabinet. The former prime minister had faced a censure vote amid anger about insecurity and the recent killings of a group of miners. Newly-named Prime Minister Eduardo Arana and the reinstated cabinet now face a congressional confirmation vote.

 

German probe into parcel plot. Authorities in Germany and Switzerland arrested three Ukrainian men in a probe of an alleged plot to send incendiary and explosive parcels to Ukraine to benefit Russia, German prosecutors said. Prosecutors in Lithuania and Poland also accused Russia of backing arson and parcel attacks last year. Moscow has previously denied accusations of hybrid warfare.

 

Reported U.S. G20 ban. The U.S. National Security Council told government departments to suspend their work related to this year’s Group of Twenty (G20) conference in South Africa, two unnamed sources told the Washington Post. Trump has previously threatened to boycott the summit over claims regarding the treatment of white South Africans. Some officials inside the administration reportedly disagree on a boycott over concerns it cedes diplomatic space to China.

 

Apple in India. Trump said he told Apple CEO Tim Cook yesterday that he disapproves of the company’s scale-up in India and wants the firm to produce inside the United States. Apple had been relocating some iPhone production activities to India in response to U.S.-China geopolitical tensions. Trump said that Apple would be increasing its U.S. production; representatives for the company in India did not comment. 

 
 

The Iran Nuclear Talks

The President's Inbox

There appears to be a will in both Washington and Tehran to reach a nuclear agreement, but concrete progress will hang on highly technical details, Carnegie’s Karim Sadjadpour tells The President’s Inbox.

Listen
 
 

What’s Next

  • Today, Trump visits the United Arab Emirates.

  • Today, the UN Security Council holds a meeting on Libya.

  • Today, the U.S. Supreme Court hears arguments in Washington in a case challenging birthright citizenship.

  • Tomorrow, top U.S. and South Korean trade officials meet in South Korea.

 
 

Trump’s Trip to the Gulf

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa meets with U.S. President Donald Trump and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman and other officials in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in this handout released on May 14, 2025.

Saudi Press Agency/Reuters

Trump’s itinerary on his first state visit reflects the fact that among Gulf countries, Saudi Arabia is politically closest to the United States, CFR expert Elliott Abrams says in this YouTube Short.

 
 

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