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538’s Nate Silver thinks that, even with decreasing home state benefits from VP choices, Biden’s pick could still cause enough of a spike to flip an essential swing state.
In a close battleground state like Michigan -- where Trump won by only 0.3% in 2016 -- Silver predicts a Gretchen Whitmer pick could give Biden a 1-2 point bump and the state.
And with Newsweek reporting that Trump and Biden are currently in a “dead heat” in several states, it’s never been more clear that the right running mate could make all the difference. Biden has committed to picking a woman, but that’s the only requirement he’s given -- otherwise, the race is wide open. That’s why we’re reaching out to engaged Democrats to get their take -- tell us now: