To view this email as a web page, click here

.
AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

Misunderstanding Russia

Seven Reasons Putin Doesn’t Want to End the War in Ukraine

April 19, 2025

Despite significant concessions and reductions in aid to Ukraine, Russia has shown little interest in the Trump administration’s attempts to broker peace—stalling negotiations and continuing attacks on civilians. Writing in Politico, Russian historian Leon Aron explains why Vladimir Putin benefits from continuing the war—and why a soft line will not convince him to end it.

 

 

Fundamentally, conceding spheres of influence to the authoritarian regimes confronting the US will only embolden further aggression. In a new essay for Foreign Affairs, Michael Beckley assesses the destabilizing effects of this assumption and other elements of the administration’s unilateralist strategy and proposes a more effective and sustainable alternative that could still strengthen the free world.

 

Tariffs are especially counterproductive to any unilateral strategy because they intensify geopolitical conflict while undermining American power’s economic basis. AEI tax expert Kyle Pomerleau underlines these costs by showing how tariffs not only tax consumption but also make investment in the American economy more expensive.

 

In his first term, Donald Trump tried to offset the costs of his tariffs with a bailout to farmers, and this week he announced he would pursue a similar approach. In a new AEI report, Joseph W. Glauber analyzes the American agricultural sector’s vulnerability to trade war, showing how government compensation cannot offset the long-term costs of trade flows shifting away from the US.

 

This week, new lawsuits were filed challenging the legal basis for these tariffs—the president’s declaration that large and persistent trade deficits constitute an emergency under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act. John Yoo highlights the constitutional issues at stake and explains why the Trump administration cannot assert any constitutional executive emergency power if it loses the statutory basis for these actions.

Examining Support for US Farmers: The 2025 Ad Hoc Economic Assistance Programs

In December 2024, Congress provided $10 billion to American farmers to cover economic losses associated with low market prices and supposedly high input prices, in addition to $21 billion to compensate for damages from natural disasters. In a new AEI report, Agricultural Policy Studies Director Vincent H. Smith and Barry K. Goodwin examine the basis for this spending. While farm groups claimed that the agriculture sector faced catastrophic losses in 2024, Smith and Goodwin dig into US Department of Agriculture data to reveal that farm incomes were well above average in 2024 and that higher prices have fueled record-high equity levels and a low debt-to-asset ratio. As a result, their research reveals that there was little justification for the $10 billion bailout, especially as food supply chains and grocery prices remained stable.

More from AEI
RESEARCH AND COMMENTARY

What Did You Expect to Happen? How Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion Wound Up in Trump’s Crosshairs

Frederick M. Hess
The American Enterprise

The Strange New Politics of Science

M. Anthony Mills and Price St. Clair
Issues in Science and Technology

How the Trump Administration Can Address the Student Loan Nonpayment Crisis

Preston Cooper
AEIdeas

Is There Really Pent-Up Demand for 10 Times the Manufacturing Jobs We Have?

Scott Winship
COSM Commentary

Utah Hands Parents the Keys to the App Store

Brad Wilcox and Spencer Cox
The Wall Street Journal

PODCASTS AND VIDEOS

The Left’s Embrace of Minority Rule

Steve Teles et al.
The National Affairs Podcast

Congress: Legislation vs. Regulation

Kevin R. Kosar and Philip Wallach
AEI video

Rediscovering Integrity in Medicine

Sally Satel
AEI video

Developing and Testing Election Technology

John C. Fortier et al.
The Voting Booth

College, Merit, and the Road Less Traveled

Ian Rowe and Nique Fajors
The Invisible Men

QUOTE OF THE WEEK

If the administration truly wants to leverage DOGE’s [the Department of Government Efficiency’s] work toward substantive and political gains, the path of rescission outlined by the Impoundment Control Act would be the natural choice. To opt for a battle over impoundment instead would be to choose fruitless, performative confrontation over substantive policy progress.

Yuval Levin