From Stephen Moore <[email protected]>
Subject Unleash Prosperity Hotline #1231
Date March 27, 2025 2:29 PM
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Unleash Prosperity Hotline
Issue #1231
03/27/2025
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1) As with Everything Else, Red States Dominate NCAA Basketball Tournament

We are down to 16 surviving colleges in the March Madness NCAA Basketball Tourney and guess what? 15 of the16 surviving teams are from red states won by Trump in 2024. Most of them are from the South.

Just as people and capital and jobs are leaving blue states, so are the star athletes and coaches. Once upon a time in the 1960s and early 1970s it was UCLA that dominated college hoops, and then it was the beasts from the Big East - including Georgetown, St. John's and Villanova. Now, it's the Southeastern conference teams rolling over the opposition.

The red state basketball and football dominance isn't likely to reverse course. This year, Rivals, which rates the top high school basketball talent, finds 28 of the top 40 are from red states. And so are 31 of the top 40 football recruits.

Now that these "student" athletes can move into the "portal" and sell their talents to the highest college bidder, expect these sudden millionaires to choose schools in low or no income tax states.

These aren't just dumb jocks.
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2) South Carolina Moves to Flat Rate Income

Speaking of low taxes down in Dixie, now South Carolina is getting into the act. They're following the lead of Mississippi's tax slashing - a story we reported on Monday.

Not long ago, South Carolina had one of the highest income tax rates (above 7%) in the south, but a new bill that is sailing through the legislature in Columbia would slash the rate from 6.2% to 3.99% and eventually to 2.5%. Governor McMaster says he's eager to sign this bill.
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"South Carolina will have a lower income tax rate than many of our neighboring states, lower than North Carolina, Georgia, Alabama and Virginia," said Rep. Bruce Bannister, R-Greenville.

Ahh, tax competition. It's a beautiful thing.
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3) At Last – Some Senate Progress on the Trump Tax Cuts

Financial markets are jittery and consumer confidence is down thanks to Trump's tariff battles. But that news overshadowed good news from the Senate: Leadership has finally come around to the wisdom of including a "big beautiful" tax cut in the budget resolution.

Our 501 (c)(4) partner org, Unleash Prosperity Now, has been critical of the Senate's snail speed in moving on the tax bill, and are starting an ad campaign urging them to speed up the process.

But right now, the Senate has made room for a bigger tax cut than the House. And the Senate is arguing for a "current policy baseline," which makes room for a more pro-growth tax reduction plan.

Our view is the moment this tax cut is signed, sealed and delivered we will see an economic and stock market rally.

All the more reason to ride like the wind.
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4) Trump Orders Clean Elections – What a Concept

We very much like Donald Trump's new executive order to protect the integrity of U.S. elections. It is modeled after many of the reforms our voter integrity expert John Fund has been recommending.

The EO requires government-issued proof of U.S. citizenship for anyone filling out a federal registration form and requires states to clean up their outdated voter rolls if they accept federal election-related grants.

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Trump's order would also require mail-in ballots to be "cast and received" by Election Day. Currently, 18 states and Puerto Rico accept mail-in ballots after Election Day.

But the centerpiece of the executive order is to prevent non-citizens from voting in US elections. Because voter registration is on an honor system, there are few barriers to non-citizen voting.

Progressives bitterly oppose any safeguards against non-citizen voting - for reasons we can only make educated guesses about. In fact, they want to expand such voting. In New York City, they bullied Mayor Eric Adams to allow more than 800,000 noncitizen residents to vote in future elections for mayor and all other city officials. Last week, New York state's highest court voted 6 to 1 that allowing that was blatantly unconstitutional.

In short, President Trump is determined to drag the United States into the 21st Century when it comes to election protection. He preserves the right of states to conduct their own elections, but sets some minimum standards that people with common sense would agree with. Assuming there is any common sense left in Washington.
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5) Build a Wall Around the Welfare State

In the fabulous miniseries called "1923," there is a scene that seems historically accurate, depicting immigrants from Europe (the "huddled masses") disembarking from ships at Ellis Island for rigorous health and education exams. If the immigrants were sick or infirm or feeble-minded and deemed unable to take care of themselves, they were summarily denied entry and sent back home.

According to an official history of Ellis Island ([link removed]) :

"The most common reasons for exclusion were a doctor diagnosing an immigrant with a contagious disease that could endanger the public health, or a legal inspector being concerned that an immigrant would likely become a public charge."

That is as it should be today. No one should be permitted entry if they are likely to go on welfare.

In other words, legal immigration yes, welfare no.

According to an analysis by proposal from the staunchly pro-immigration Cato Institute, excluding noncitizens from welfare benefits would save the government up to a trillion dollars over the next ten years:

In 2022, non-citizens received an estimated $50.3 billion of Medicaid benefits -- about $35.6 billion in federal money and the rest from state coffers. Ideally, no non-citizens should receive any Medicaid from state or federal funding, but states do have that discretion with their own state funds. Our back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests that kicking all non-citizens off Medicaid would save about $355.9 billion over ten years.

Still, the Senate could go further by restricting all non-citizen access to other federal welfare programs. We estimate that non-citizens consumed about $59.8 billion in other welfare benefits in 2022 -- far below what native-born Americans do per capita, but a substantial sum nonetheless. Removing non-citizens from all welfare and entitlement programs, not just Medicaid, would save about $1 trillion over the next decade.
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