In a district that went for Trump by 64% in 2024, Democratic mail-in-ballots trail Republican ballots by a margin of 42.7% to 40.2% - meaning we trail by just 2.5%. Considering 17% of mail-in-ballots have come from voters with no party affiliation, a segment of voters we poll extremely well with, we are likely leading in vote-by-mail by a sizable majority.
Democrats have overperformed in every special election of 2025. But those races have all been state and local races - this is the first major congressional race of 2025 and by the looks of it, the Democrat has an incredibly real shot at winning.
Our GOP opponent is freaking out—yelling on conservative radio about our campaign, spreading lies and disgusting smears like that we have MS-13 knocking doors for us and that Josh is a Jihadi - even calling for Josh to be arrested just two weeks before E-Day.
While promising for us, these early voting stats are going to ring out as a distress beacon to every major Republican PAC and donor to bail out our opponent. We are now competing at the highest level against everything in the MAGA arsenal.
With so much on the line, every moment, every dollar, and every door knocked counts.
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