That's the question FiveThirtyEight asked. Here's what they said.
 
AZ Dems
Friend,

Last week, FiveThirtyEight’s weekly politics chat asked the question: “Are Arizona, Georgia and Texas really in play?”

In regard to Arizona, the answer was a resounding “YES.” Here are some of the main takeaways from the discussion:
  • “Of the three states we’re looking at, I think it’s pretty clear that Arizona is the most in play.”
  • “Unlike in Georgia and Texas, Democrats actually won major statewide contests in Arizona in 2018 — including the state’s marquee Senate race — and election turnout was nearly as high as the 2016 presidential contest, meaning that performance may reflect a broader shift toward the Democrats rather than just a side effect of the midterms’ blue wave.”
  • “Arizona gives [Biden] another possible path to 270 in the Electoral College. Arizona’s worth 11 electoral votes, so it could sub in for, say, Wisconsin (10 electoral votes) if Trump were to narrowly carry the Badger State.”
It’s clear Arizona is one of the political epicenters in this year’s election. With so much riding on our state, we’re working overtime to reach and register voters in every corner of the state.

Building a massive organizing program isn’t easy – or cheap – and we need the full support of this grassroots team to power our work. Will you chip in $15 or whatever you can to help us get out the vote in Arizona?

With your help, we can deliver Arizona’s 11 electoral votes to Joe Biden, flip our U.S. Senate seat blue, and take back the U.S. Senate majority for Democrats.

Thanks for your support.

Arizona Democrats


 

 

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Paid for by the Arizona Democratic Party and not authorized by any candidate or candidate's committee. Rick McGuire Treasurer. www.azdem.org

Arizona Democratic Party
2910 North Central Ave
Phoenix AZ 85012 United States

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