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Daily News Brief

February 11, 2025

Welcome to CFR’s Daily News Brief. Today we’re covering a global AI summit in Paris, as well as...

  • Trump’s steel and aluminum tariffs
  • New risks to the Gaza cease-fire
  • The early exit of Romania’s president

Top of the Agenda

France and the European Union (EU) will mobilize hundreds of billions of dollars in investments in Europe’s artificial intelligence (AI) sector, their leaders said. French President Emmanuel Macron is co-hosting a global summit on AI standards with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, aiming both to strengthen the European sector and deepen EU-India ties. The summit’s guest list—including U.S. Vice President JD Vance, Chinese Vice Premier Zhang Guoqing, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, and several CEOs—underscores how AI competition has moved to the center of geopolitics.

 

The United States and United Kingdom (UK) withheld from signing the summit’s joint declaration today, which pledges work toward AI that is “open, inclusive, transparent, ethical, safe, secure, and trustworthy” as well as “sustainable for people and the planet.” The United States did not immediately explain its reasoning; a spokesperson for the UK’s prime minister said it would only sign initiatives in the “national interest.” AI safety watchdogs had already voiced concern in recent days that a leaked draft declaration was less focused on guardrails than at previous versions of the summit.

 

The current playing field. European governments have generally prioritized regulations and risk mitigation when it comes to AI. Meanwhile, Europe’s AI firms have often lagged behind their U.S. and Chinese counterparts technologically. The top EU tech official said yesterday that while some regulations will continue, the bloc plans to cut red tape. 

  • Macron yesterday said $113 billion of investments in France’s AI sector were forthcoming, including a $31 to $52 billion UAE-funded campus. He compared the plans to the Stargate project in the United States, which aims to deploy $500 billion in AI infrastructure investment.

  • Today, von der Leyen pledged that billions in public EU funds would go to a bloc-wide target of raising more than $200 billion for the sector. 

  • In a speech, U.S. Vice President JD Vance criticized both “excessive regulation” of AI and “authoritarian regimes” that use the technology to control citizens at home and abroad.

The Europe-India axis. After the summit, Modi will travel with Macron on to the French city of Marseille. It’s a potential entry point of a proposed India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor that has been touted as an alternative to China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Separately, von der Leyen has said she will travel to India for the first foreign trip of her new term as the European Commission president. She said she hopes to reactivate slow-moving talks on a potential EU-India free trade deal, which has grown more attractive to Brussels amid trade tensions with Washington.

“Europeans will say, ‘We have what's called the Brussels effect. We set the regulations. Companies have to ascribe to them to enter the European market, and then they get globalized, and European standards play a role.’ But I think there's a sense that regulation is burdensome, and that's why Europe doesn't have these [AI] technology companies...There are some small players, but right now, I would say it really is a [U.S.-China] bipolar world in AI,” CFR expert Adam Segal tells The President’s Inbox.

Securing Space:
A Plan for U.S. Action

CFR’s latest Task Force Report urges that the United States needs to take action to maintain leadership in an increasingly strategic realm.

Read the report
Read the Task Force Report: Securing Space, A Plan for U.S. Action

Across the Globe

Trump details steel, aluminum duties. All steel and aluminum imports into the United States will face a 25 percent tariff, according to an executive order by U.S. President Donald Trump. The changes are due to take effect March 12. Trump said the measures were aimed at strengthening the domestic sector. He added he would give “great consideration” to Australia’s request for an exemption due to its trade deficit with the United States. The EU’s von der Leyen said “unjustified tariffs” will trigger “firm and proportionate countermeasures.”

 

Gaza truce under strain. Hamas said yesterday it will postpone the next scheduled hostage release over alleged Israeli violations of the cease-fire agreement, including firing upon Palestinians and blocking humanitarian aid. Israel’s defense minister called Hamas’s announcement a violation of the deal and said he had put the military on high alert. Yesterday, Trump said that if “all” of Hamas’s hostages were not released by midday Saturday he would support canceling the deal, but that Israel might override him on the issue. 

 

Romanian leader resigns. Centrist, pro-EU President Klaus Iohannis said he will step down ahead of an impending impeachment process. Liberal and right-wing opposition politicians filed impeachment charges; they said Iohannis failed to provide answers on election security after Romanian courts annulled the first round of the country’s presidential vote last November citing foreign influence. A pro-Russian candidate rose from obscurity to rank first in that contest.

 

Japan’s shifting FDI priorities. Japan’s foreign direct investment (FDI) to Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries rose 36 percent year-on-year in 2024, while its net investment going to the United States rose to a record $77.3 billion. Investment to China was roughly the same as the previous year; a Japan Research Institute analyst cited geopolitical risks and China’s housing market slump.

 

Myanmar’s conscription efforts. In an effort to stop people from avoiding military conscription, the government paused permits for overseas work and widened restrictions on young men traveling abroad. Last April, Myanmar enacted a conscription law to fill its ranks fighting rebels in the country’s civil war; it has gradually closed loopholes for men aged eighteen to thirty-five. Women are technically part of the conscription law but have so far been exempt in practice.

 

Colombian cabinet chaos. The country’s interior minister, Juan Fernando Cristo, yesterday became Colombia’s third cabinet member to resign since last week. Two of those who stepped down said they did not want to work with a newly named presidential chief of staff, Armando Benedetti, who has been accused of corruption and violence against women. Cristo did not cite Benedetti in his resignation letter. On Sunday, President Gustavo Petro asked his entire cabinet to resign so he could replace them.

 

Pretoria’s reinforcements in the DRC. South Africa sent additional troops to fight in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) against Rwanda backed-M23 rebels in recent days, Reuters reported. A Congolese army spokesperson did not immediately confirm or deny the deployment. South Africa has reportedly reinforced its support to the DRC even as some other neighboring countries, such as Malawi, recently announced withdrawals.


U.S. foreign bribery law paused. Trump ordered a halt to enforcing a law that bans companies operating in the United States from hiring foreign government officials to help get deals overseas. He said the Foreign Corrupt Practice Act (FPCA) had been blocking U.S. firms from doing business and called for “revised, reasonable enforcement guidelines.” Anti-corruption watchdog Transparency International said the FPCA had made Washington a leader in fighting corruption. 

War Returns to the DRC

As fresh fighting surges in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, the roots of today’s violence can be traced back to old problems. CFR’s Mariel Ferragamo discusses the current escalation with CFR expert Stuart Reid.

A soldier from Armed Forces of the Democratic Republic of the Congo (FARDC) stands guard in North Kivu province February 4, 2025. (Gradel Muyisa Mumbere/Reuters)

The Day Ahead

  • King Abdullah of Jordan meets with Trump at the White House.

     

  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. holds its first board meeting in the United States.

     

  • European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen meets with U.S. Vice President JD Vance in Paris.

An Ishiba-Trump Agenda

For Asia Unbound, CFR’s Sheila A. Smith recaps Friday’s White House meeting between Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba Shigeru and President Trump, reading between the lines of official statements. 

U.S. President Donald Trump shakes hands with Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba at the White House. (Kent Nishimura/Reuters)

 

 

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