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June 1, 2020: A Ballotpedia survey found that 21% of voters nationwide believe it will be at least six months before most businesses reopen and social activity resumes. That total includes 6% who believe it will take more than a year.[1]

The survey of 1,200 registered voters conducted by Scott Rasmussen found that a much larger number—45%—believe most businesses will reopen within a month or two. Twenty-eight percent (28%) believe it will take three to six more months.[1]

These figures highlight a much more pessimistic assessment of the situation than was found earlier. In fact, in late March, 58% of voters expected that most businesses would be open by now. At that time, only 8% thought it would take six months or more.[2]

As always, there is a huge partisan difference. Fifty-one percent (51%) of Republicans expect most businesses to be open within a month or two. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Democrats think it will take three months or longer (see question wording and crosstabs).[1]

It’s important to note that the pace of reopening varies dramatically from state to state. Ballotpedia provides the most comprehensive source of information on the various state efforts to reopen in their Documenting America's Path to Recovery project.

That project is tracking the plans for recovery put forth by states, localities, and others in a way that allows citizens, policymakers, influencers, pundits, and the nation's reporters to engage in fruitful comparisons about moving forward. Click here to sign up for daily email updates.

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Each weekday, Scott Rasmussen’s Number of the Day explores interesting and newsworthy topics at the intersection of culture, politics, and technology. Columns published on Ballotpedia reflect the views of the author.

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Scott Rasmussen is an editor-at-large for Ballotpedia, the Encyclopedia of American Politics. He is a senior fellow for the study of self-governance at the King’s College in New York. His most recent book, Politics Has Failed: America Will Not, was published by the Sutherland Institute in August 2018.

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