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AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

The Case for Aid

America’s Interest in a Ukrainian Victory

January 11, 2024

One of the most important decisions the incoming Trump administration faces is whether to continue providing aid to Ukraine against Russian aggression. In a new AEI report, Critical Threats Project Director Frederick W. Kagan, former Defense Department official Elaine McCusker, and Richard Sims demonstrate that a Russian victory would cost the United States hundreds of billions of dollars more than if the US were to maintain or strengthen current aid to Ukraine.

 

 

The Trump administration inherits a dangerous situation in Ukraine largely because of the Biden administration’s unsuccessful foreign policy. AEI Foreign and Defense Policy Studies Director Kori Schake documents how the Biden administration failed by its own standards in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia.

 

While its exact place within the administration remains unclear, the Elon Musk–spearheaded Department of Government Efficiency has attracted widespread attention. Yuval Levin highlights potential pitfalls and provides a blueprint for how this effort could do the most good.

 

The administration’s domestic priorities will have to reckon with the significant constraints of small and fractious majorities in Congress. AEI congressional expert Philip Wallach shows why it would be a mistake for Republicans to evade the process of open deliberation if they want to achieve legislative success.

 

As to policy substance, questions of work requirements and welfare dependency will take center stage in tax legislation this year. AEI President Robert Doar and Matt Weidinger explain why lawmakers should look to Senator Joe Manchin’s example on these issues as his time in Congress comes to an end.

 

Menu Adjustment in Response to the Minimum Wage: A Return to the New Jersey–Pennsylvania Border

Most research on minimum wages focuses on employment effects, with little assessment of how minimum wages affect prices for consumers. In a new paper, AEI Economic Policy Studies Director Michael R. Strain and Kerry L. Papps use New Jersey’s 2019 minimum wage increase as a natural experiment to compare fast food prices with Pennsylvania, where the minimum wage remained constant. By tracking price data from 2019 to 2021 on every menu item for a single restaurant chain, Strain and Papps find that a $1 increase in the minimum wage raises the price of an average item by seven cents, with the most labor-intensive items increasing in price the most.

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[The surgeon general] has been disappointingly silent on a looming public health threat on which a strong statement might make a real difference: the spreading legalization of recreational marijuana and the absence of standardized warnings for a drug whose effects on mental health, particularly, are becoming increasingly clear.

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