Daily News Brief
May 22, 2020
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Editor’s note: There will be no Daily Brief on Monday, May 25, for Memorial Day.
Top of the Agenda
China Moves to Crack Down on Hong Kong With New Law
China is moving to enact a new national security law (SCMP) for Hong Kong to crack down on activities Beijing sees as seditious or secessionist. The move would be a major blow to Hong Kong’s autonomy.

A top Chinese official said the law would “prevent, frustrate, and punish” criminal acts that harm national security. The move drew swift condemnation from U.S. lawmakers; two senators are proposing a bill (WSJ) that would sanction Chinese officials who enforce the law. President Donald J. Trump said he would address the issue “very strongly.” A U.S. State Department assessment is pending on whether Hong Kong remains independent enough from China to warrant special treatment under U.S. law.
Analysis
“‘One country, two systems’ was a ploy from the outset, a tactic for China to buy time, the better to absorb Hong Kong sooner or later. Preferably sooner, it seems,” Lewis Lau Yiu-man writes in the New York Times.

“Beijing has opted for the most risky route,” Johns Hopkins University’s Ho-Fung Hung tells the Washington Post. “It will show the world that ‘one country, two systems’ is, if not already over, almost over.”

This CFR Backgrounder looks at democracy in Hong Kong.
The World Next Week
CFR’s James M. Lindsay and Robert McMahon discuss China’s National People’s Congress, Afghanistan’s struggling peace process, and more.

Pacific Rim
Japan Begins Lifting State of Emergency Orders
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe lifted the coronavirus state of emergency (Asahi Shimbun) for the Hyogo, Kyoto, and Osaka prefectures and indicated that the remaining orders for Tokyo, Hokkaido, and three other prefectures could be lifted as soon as Monday.

CFR’s Yanzhong Huang, Joshua Kurlantzick, Sheila A. Smith, and Scott A. Snyder discuss Asia’s response to the coronavirus in this virtual meeting.

South and Central Asia
Afghan Power-Sharing Deal Includes Electoral Reform
A power-sharing agreement between Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and his political rival Abdullah Abdullah includes electoral reform measures (TOLO) to help prevent a deadlock similar to the one that followed the country’s 2019 election, when both Ghani and Abdullah claimed victory.

Pakistan: A Pakistan International Airlines flight carrying ninety passengers and eight crew members crashed into a populated area (Dawn) near Karachi’s airport. A rescue operation is underway.

Middle East and North Africa
Turkey Issues Warning to Libya’s Haftar
The Turkish government warned of “grave consequences” (Al Jazeera) if its interests in Libya were targeted by the rebel commander Khalifa Haftar. Turkey has supported the UN-backed government waging war against Haftar’s forces.

This CFR In Brief explains what’s at stake in Libya’s war.

Palestinian territories: The Palestinian Authority rejected medical aid (Haaretz) from a shipment the United Arab Emirates sent via Israel, citing insufficient coordination with Palestinian leadership. The aid was redirected to the Gaza Strip.

Sub-Saharan Africa
World Bank Approves Aid to Fight Locusts
The World Bank approved $500 million worth of grants and loans to help fight locust swarms (Reuters) that have devastated crops in Africa and the Middle East. Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Uganda, which have been especially hard hit, will immediately receive a combined $160 million, an official told Reuters. 

Burundi: An election official urged patience (AFP) as ballots are counted following Wednesday’s election to replace long-serving President Pierre Nkurunziza. An opposition group alleged fraud in the election, which was held with little observance of coronavirus-related social distancing.

Europe
Russia: U.S. Move to Scrap Arms Treaty a ‘Blow’ to Europe’s Security
President Trump’s decision for the United States to abandon the Open Skies arms control treaty would be a “blow to the foundation of European security,” (AFP) a Russian deputy foreign minister said.

UK: The government stopped mass testing and contact tracing (Reuters) of the coronavirus in March because a surge in cases would have overwhelmed the health-care system, advisors said. Tests and contact tracing have been ramped up in recent weeks.

Americas
Argentina Extends Debt Deadline, Braces for Default
Argentina’s government extended a deadline (Buenos Aires Times) for debt restructuring talks until June 2 and will miss an interest payment due today, meaning it will be in selective default on some bonds. President Alberto Fernandez downplayed the issue, saying the “country has been in default for months.”

Mexico: Mexico City will begin reopening on June 1 (El Universal), even though the country is still seeing record deaths from COVID-19.

United States
Family of Slain Journalist Jamal Khashoggi Forgives Killers
The family of murdered Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi said they have forgiven his killers (Reuters). Their statement could lead to formal pardons for the five defendants sentenced to death in Saudi Arabia.
Friday Editor’s Pick
The New Yorker looks at how internal forces such as a coronavirus outbreak and popular unrest threaten the regime of Iran’s supreme leader.
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