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AEI's weekly digest of top commentary and scholarship on the issues that matter most

Embracing Innovation

Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Work

December 7, 2024

Generative artificial intelligence systems could unlock US productivity growth, but concerns about safety and economic dislocation might limit their potential. As a member of the National Academy of Sciences Committee on Automation and the US Workforce, AEI Economic Policy Studies Director Michael R. Strain contributed to a new report exploring what policymakers must do to ensure AI transforms the American workforce for the better.

 

 

The Republican Party has traditionally embraced the potential of scientific and technological innovation, but the nomination of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as secretary of Health and Human Services signals a profound shift in the character of the American right. Writing in The New York Times, Director of AEI’s Center for Technology, Science, and Energy M. Anthony Mills assesses the future of science policy in a more populist and distrustful second Trump administration.

 

President-elect Donald Trump has been so effective at mobilizing distrust of the scientific and public health establishment precisely because too many of these experts have prioritized a left-wing equity agenda at the expense of their core mission. Practicing psychiatrist and AEI Senior Fellow Sally Satel explores how identity politics threatens patients’ health.

 

Similarly, the overwhelmingly left-leaning views of US university faculty have turned too many institutions of higher education into vehicles for political advocacy. In part two of a five-part series on the politicization of the American university, AEI Nonresident Senior Fellow and Professor at the University of Colorado Boulder Roger Pielke Jr. documents the scope and costs of this ideological bias.

 

However, it would be a mistake to respond to this crisis of trust by reshaping American institutions for right-wing political purposes. Writing in The Atlantic, AEI Foreign and Defense Policy Studies Director Kori Schake warns that Trump’s plans to use the military to advance domestic policy will endanger the armed forces’ ability to perform their core missions.

 

Why Has Construction Productivity Stagnated? The Role of Land-Use Regulation

From 1940 through 1970, the US experienced an unrivaled explosion in home construction productivity. But since then, productivity in the field has dropped 40 percent, even as US aggregate productivity doubled. In a new working paper for the National Bureau of Economic Research, Edward L. Glaeser and coauthors explain this trend by modeling the effects of land-use regulations on the size of construction projects and firms. They find that since 1970, land-use controls limiting the size of projects reduced the size of construction firms, undermining the economies of scale and incentives to innovate that fueled the pre-1970 boom. Deregulating land use thus has the potential to unlock significant productivity growth.

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QUOTE OF THE WEEK

If Trump wants to avoid presiding over a historic failure . . . he needs to avoid the trap of trying to appease Putin with promises of Ukrainian neutrality and disarmament. He does not want to join Neville Chamberlain in the pantheon of leaders who promised peace in our time but delivered the opposite. Trump says he wants to prevent World War III. If that is the case, he should do what he did in his first term and secure peace through strength.

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