The next administration’s volatility may be bad for business.
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** “Innovation Demands Regulatory Stability, Not Chaos”
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Lina Khan, chair of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)
The arrival of a second Trump term has delighted much of corporate America, whose executives expect their profits to soar as the administration abandons the Lina Khan and Jonathan Kanter–led antitrust efforts of the past four years. But “C-suite leaders should be careful what they wish for,” Niko Lusiani, Roosevelt’s director of corporate power, writes ([link removed]) in Washington Monthly. The Trump era “might feel more business-friendly until, rapidly and unpredictably, it is not.”
If Trump’s past is precedent, the next four years could see more instability and rampant favoritism. An antitrust strategy “based more on volatility than reason” would stifle “the innovation businesses claim to champion,” Lusiani argues. “Regulators pursuing penalties without a transparent rationale turn companies defensive.”
As a result of this unpredictability, it’s unclear what the new administration will do with the federal government’s active battles against Big Tech—such as those against Google. The tech giant has been accused of paying off rivals to keep its search engine dominant, which allows it to “extract value from its customers by reducing its quality and increasing its prices,” Lusiani and Roosevelt Fellow Ketan Ahuja write for MSNBC ([link removed]) . While banning such payments could “restore the incentives of distribution partners such as Apple and Samsung to compete with Google,” such a remedy wouldn’t go as far as to “give newcomers access to distribution channels and other capabilities they need to actually innovate.” (Ahuja expands on this concept in a Roosevelt brief ([link removed]) released in June.)
Last month, the DOJ proposed in its antimonopoly suit against Google that the company sell its web browser, Chrome, to reduce its dominance over online search. While this is a promising start, Lusiani and Ahuja write that actually fueling competitive, innovative search engines will require a business model for internet browsers that serves internet users, not corporate backers.
If it’s innovation companies claim to want, it’s competition they must abide by. And as Lusiani asserts in Washington Monthly, “Innovation demands regulatory stability, not chaos.”
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