Featuring Christopher Layne, Matthias Matthijs, Molly O'Neal, & Anatol Lieven
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Today @ Noon ET - The War-Crisis Nexus in Europe: Germany, Europe and the War in Ukraine
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The collapse of Germany’s governing coalition, the unpopularity of all three governing parties and the rise of the right-wing populist Alternative for Germany (AfD) is symptomatic of the beleaguered standing of many mainstream parties in Europe and the strains affecting the EU as a whole. A recently published Quincy brief, The Risks to Germany and Europe of a Prolonged War in Ukraine ([link removed]) , argues that the Ukraine War, the shut-off of Russian gas supplies, and public concerns about the dangers to Germany have contributed greatly to Germany’s political and fiscal crisis, and that pursuing an unambiguous victory for Ukraine against Russia carries severe risks for the stability and prosperity of Europe as a whole.
These risks could increase radically if the Trump administration were to throw responsibility for Ukraine onto the shoulders of the Europeans without first having achieved a peace settlement there. Fiscal constraints faced by Europe’s NATO members create an unavoidable trade-off between providing arms and equipment to Ukraine, a determined drive by European NATO members to assume more responsibility for their own territorial defense, and maintaining Europe’s endangered health and social welfare systems.
November 2024
20
12:00 PM ET
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Join us for a timely and important discussion with:
Christopher Layne
Christopher Layne is distinguished professor of International Affairs and the Robert M. Gates chair in National Security at the Bush School of Government and Public Service at Texas A&M University. He has written two books: The Peace of Illusions: American Grand Strategy from 1940 to the Present (2006) and American Empire: A Debate (2006).
Matthias Matthijs
Dr. Matthias Matthijs holds the Dean Acheson chair at SAIS and is associate professor of international political economy at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS) and a Senior Fellow for Europe at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). He is co-editor of the book "The Future of the Euro"(2015).
Molly O'Neal
Molly O’Neal is a Quincy Institute non-resident fellow and former Foreign Service officer. She served in the U.S. embassies in Moscow, Tbilisi, Tashkent and Baku, on State’s Policy Planning Staff and as Political Counselor at the European Bank for Reconstruction Development. She holds a PhD from Johns Hopkins SAIS.
Anatol Lieven (Moderator)
Dr. Anatol Lieven directs the Eurasia Program at the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft. He was formerly a professor at Georgetown University in Qatar and in the War Studies Department of King’s College London. From 1985 to 1998, Lieven worked as a journalist in South Asia, the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe.
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