Joe Biden has finally found a relatively risk-free way to give Ukraine longer-range missiles, the ATACMS. They’re tactical missiles with a range of about 190 miles, thus bringing more Russian military encampments into range, but no major Russian cities. This is the kind of escalation against which Vladimir Putin has been brandishing the threat of using Russia’s nuclear weapons, which he again brandished earlier today. That said, the impending Trump presidency has effectively negated such threats. Putin knows
that Trump will be happy to help arrange a cease-fire in which Russia gains vast Ukrainian territories and perhaps can even engineer the installation of a more pro-Russian Ukrainian government. After all, Trump’s favorite European government is Hungary’s, a pro-Russian illiberal semi-autocracy, so why would Trump oppose the elevation of a Ukrainian Viktor Orbán if that’s the outcome that Putin seeks? Going nuclear, however, would screw up such a scenario; not even Trump could ignore the backlash against a Russian nuclear attack. This has rendered Putin’s threats even less real,
and more of the saber-rattling variety, than they were before. In that sense, Trump’s ascent has freed Biden to give Ukraine a weapons system that previously appeared to run the risk of at least some kind of Russian escalation. Terribly, but not surprisingly, Biden also has doubled down on his other war policy: his refusal to do anything to mitigate, much less halt, Israel’s destruction of Gaza and the attendant slaughter and starvation of its residents. On October 13, Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin sent a letter to Israeli Prime Minister Bibi
Netanyahu saying that the Israeli government’s obstruction of food and medicine to Gaza meant that "essential survival needs" were not being met. The letter gave Israel 30 days to increase such deliveries tenfold.
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