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MustReadTexas.com – @MustReadTexas
BY: @MattMackowiak
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TUESDAY || 11/12/24
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“If something of importance is known in Texas, Matt knows it. With a decline in the number of credible news organizations, the Must Read Texas morning email is indispensable for anyone that wants to continue to be informed.” – Former U.S. Senator Phil Gramm (R-TX)
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2024
“Trump flipped these Texas counties to help propel him to victory,” Houston Chronicle's Matt Zdun, Leila Darwiche and Janie Haseman — “Voters across the country swung to the right in the 2024 presidential race, propelling Donald Trump to victory.. He flipped more than 60 counties from blue to red this election cycle compared to 2020 and did better this time around in 90% of the counties where at least 95% of the vote has been tallied.
In Texas, 239 of the state’s 254 counties shifted right, a Houston Chronicle analysis of Associated Press voting data shows. Ten of the counties that Biden won in 2020 went to Trump this year, including Williamson and Tarrant Counties — the two most competitive counties in the state in 2020 — and a host of counties along Texas’s southern border.
Trump won the state by six percentage points, or about 631,000 votes in 2020. He defeated Harris by 14 points this year with a margin of about 938,000 more votes overall, according to the AP tally.
Harris did not outperform Biden in any of the 22 counties where he won four years ago.
The colors on the map show change from 2020.
Counties along Texas’s southern border have seen some of the starkest political change over time.
For example, Starr County, a county of about 66,000 people in the Rio Grande Valley, has voted for Democrats in every presidential election since 1896, the longest voting streak in the country. It voted for President Barack Obama over Republican Mitt Romney by 73 points in 2012, which was the largest Democratic victory of any county in the state that year. That blue edge shrank over the following eight years. In 2020, the county handed Biden the victory over Trump by only five points.
This year, however, the county bucked its more than 100-year voting history, choosing Trump over Harris by a whopping 16-point margin. Neighboring counties saw similar trends.
Williamson County in the Austin metro area and Tarrant County in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area handed Trump slight victories over Harris this year: three points and five points, respectively.
Both counties were solidly red in 2012, with over two-digit margins. In subsequent elections, the margins appeared to be getting less red before the counties both flipped in 2020. But they didn’t stay blue for long, returning to their red roots in this presidential election.
The president isn’t chosen by who wins counties or towns. In most cases, electoral votes are assigned based on the popular vote statewide. However, local numbers and trends can help us understand how a candidate claimed victory in a state.
Nationally, Harris failed to build on Joe Biden’s margins even in blue counties. In counties (or towns, for Connecticut) where she won, her victory was slimmer than Biden’s 2020 win by an average of about 5,500 votes. That added up to a loss of 2.5 million votes in blue counties alone.
Trump, on the other hand, saw stronger vote margins this year in counties he won in 2020. He received an extra 600 votes on average in these areas, collecting 1.6 million more votes there overall.
Texas saw this trend play out as well, with Harris gaining more ground in only six of the state’s 254 counties." Houston Chronicle ($)
HOU CHRON: “'Drill, baby, drill' mindset returns to Texas with Trump victory” Houston Chronicle ($)
DMN: “Texas lawmakers begin filing bills for 2025 session” DMN ($)
AAS: “'This is just our voice': Professors defend faculty senates, DEI in higher education” AAS ($)
DMN: “Greg Abbott's busing program made immigration a national issue” DMN ($)
DMN: “Southwest Airlines' activist investor concerns won't disappear after the deal with Elliott” DMN ($)
HOU CHRON: “Trump picks Abbott ally to oversee mass deportations” Houston Chronicle
DMN: “Is Dallas Mayor Eric Johnson angling for a job in the Trump administration?” DMN ($)
SAEN: “John Cornyn signals support on Trump's call for recess appointments” SAEN ($)
NEWS FROM AROUND THE STATE
> TX TRIB: "How disagreements about a Texas death row inmate’s guilt became a legal battle between branches of government" TX TRIB
> DMN: "AG Ken Paxton files 100th lawsuit against Biden administration" DMN
> DMN: "Is banning DEI in college courses the next step for Texas?" DMN
> TX TRIB: "Texas’ 90,000 DACA recipients can sign up for Affordable Care Act coverage — for now" TX TRIB
> FWST: "A ‘foundational’ project: Inside the first building of Fort Worth’s new Texas A&M campus" FWST
> EP TIMES: "GOP gains improve voucher prospects, add drama to House speaker's race" EP TIMES
> MRT: "ConocoPhillips: Marathon deal helps company keep high-grading portfolio" MRT
> HOU CHRON: "Toxic lead levels found in Fifth Ward yards and play areas" HOU CHRON
> COMMUNITY IMPACT: "Private school vouchers a ‘top priority’ for state leaders in 2025" COMMUNITY IMPACT
> THE TEXAN: "Texas Legislature Gains New Crop of Pro-School Choice Republicans After November Election" THE TEXAN
> EP TIMES: "Texas AG sues El Paso doctor over gender transition treatments" EP TIMES
> THE TEXAN: "Trump Selects Former ICE Acting Director Tom Homan as New 'Border Czar'" THE TEXAN
> MY RGV: "SpaceX eyes Nov. 18 launch; second booster catch attempt will be made" MY RGV
> AAS: "GOP gains improve voucher prospects, add drama to House speaker's race" AAS
> EP TIMES: "Mexican soldiers stop migrants in trailer heading to Juárez border" EP TIMES
> DMN: "As cities look to pull back funding, North Texas residents say they want more transit" DMN
> SA REPORT: "More than 1,000 domestic violence survivors across Bexar County have sought help since July" SA REPORT
> COMMUNITY IMPACT: "Housing affordability in Houston improves for the first time since 2020" COMMUNITY IMPACT
> TPR: "What Trump's proposed mass deportations could mean for San Antonio" TPR
> SA REPORT: "San Antonio gets its first vending machine for life-saving drug overdose medication" SA REPORT
> SA REPORT: "The South Side is ready for an innovative health careers pipeline" SA REPORT
EXTRA POINTS
Last night's Texas sports scores:
> NHL: Dallas 7, Pittsburgh 1
> NBA: Houston 107, Washington 92
> NBA: San Antonio 116, Sacramento 96
> NCAAM: #13 Texas A&M 97, Lamar 71
> NCAAM: SMU 81, NC-Greensboro 68
Tonight's Texas sports schedule:
> 6pm: NCAAM: Tarleton State at Florida State (ACC Network)
> 6:30pm: NCAAM: Texas Southern at Georgia Tech (ACC Network)
> 7pm: NCAAM: Sam Houston State at #12 Baylor (ESPN+)
> 7pm: NCAAM: McMurry at Abilene Christian (ESPN+)
> 7pm: NCAAM: UTSA at Bradley (ESPN+)
> 7pm: NCAAM: LA Monroe at Rice (ESPN+)
> 7pm: NCAAM: Texas State at TCU (ESPN+)
> 7pm: NCAAM: Chicago State at Texas (SEC)
> 7pm: NCAAM: Prairie View A&M at Incarnate Word (ESPN+)
> 8pm: NCAAM: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi at New Mexico (ESPN+)
> 8pm: NCAAM: TX Permian Basin at UTEP (ESPN+)
> 9pm: NBA: Dallas at Golden State (TNT)
DALLAS COWBOYS: "Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders Netflix series renewed for second season" DMN ($)
TEXAS A&M FOOTBALL: "Texas A&M football: Special teams help keep Aggies in CFP picture" Houston Chronicle ($)
SMU FOOTBALL: "3 keys for SMU against Boston College" DMN ($)
TEXAS MEN'S BASKETBALL: "Texas vs Chicago State preview, prediction, how to watch" AAS ($)
SAN ANTONIO SPURS: "3 takeaways as Wembanyama explodes against the Kings" SAEN ($)
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