At the outset of his presidency, Joe Biden faced a choice. He could follow the model of the early Obama presidency, which responded to the historic job losses of 2008-2009 with a measured stimulus package big enough to stanch those losses but too small to power a rapid recovery, or opt for a massive stimulus that would engender record levels of job creation in the wake of the pandemic’s huge job losses, while also risking some economic overheating. Biden chose the massive option. His economic team was
all too aware of the deficiencies of the 2009 Obama stimulus, which the Republican victories in the 2010 midterm elections made impossible to enlarge. In consequence, it took nearly a full decade for unemployment to drop to low levels, and stranded millions of millennials in lower-paying and less stable employment than might have otherwise been the case. The progressive economists both within and without the Biden White House persuaded the new president that he could spare the country from another bout of prolonged rehab with a stimulus so large it would jump-start purchasing and employment. The policy worked. The economic recovery from the COVID recession was the swiftest in the nation’s history. Economic historians may well come to view it as no less important than Biden’s revival of industrial policy. And yet, this achievement has had no apparent impact on today’s election.
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