Legendary Ohio State football coach Woody Hayes used to say there are three things that can happen with a forward pass, and only one of them is good.
Predicting elections is like that: You can get it wrong, say it’s too close to call or get it right.
No wonder most analysts prefer the middle course, but I’ve been predicting elections for 20 years and believe I owe the people who read my work my best estimate of what will happen. That’s what I’ll do again this year.