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Money Metals News Alert
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November 4, 2024
– Gold and silver prices lost ground last week as investors took some
profits.
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Market jitters may have
also gotten the better of the more weak-handed longs in the futures market.
Investors were generally
inclined to sell. Stock prices were down with the S&P 500 dropping more than 100
points on the week.
The dollar weakened
against other major currencies. And bond prices fell with the 10-year Treasury
yield rising to nearly 4.4% -- the highest level since July.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to
follow up its rate cut in September with another one this week.
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Gold : Silver Ratio (as of
Friday's closing prices) – 83.8 to
1
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Election Uncertainty Could Drive Bullion
Buying
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How will tomorrow???s election impact
gold and silver markets?
Bullion investors who support Donald
Trump may get what they hope for. The polls mostly favor a Trump win in key
battleground states, though Kamala Harris appears to have a slight edge in the
popular vote.
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While Election Day is
tomorrow, there is no certainty a winner will be declared before Americans wake up
on Wednesday. Officials in many swing states have told voters not to expect
results on election night. Arizona bureaucrats are warning Americans that counting
may take ???10-13 days.???
The long delay in counting
is just one of the concerns many Americans harbor in regard to election integrity.
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For a percentage of Americans, Joe
Biden???s victory four years ago remains questionable. People increasingly lack
confidence in U.S. elections. PBS
reports that 58% of Americans are concerned about voter fraud.
The nation is even more polarized now
than in 2020. A peaceful and routine transfer of power would come as a pleasant
surprise to many Americans, who are expecting dirty tricks from the other side.
Some Democrat leaders have questioned
Trump???s eligibility for office, claiming the former president led the January 6th
???insurrection??? and is therefore barred from office according to the 14th
Amendment.
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If Harris should be
declared the winner, objections from the Trump campaign are all but certain. Cases
brought in the courts last time around did not result in rulings that found
widespread election fraud. Judges dismissed many of the cases on technicalities.
The Babylon Bee, a satire
website, sums
it up well with a headline that hardly seems satirical: "Nation Anxiously
Waits To See Which Side Will Be Denying Election Results."
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The uncertainty over the election has
already crept into the bullion markets. Buying activity picked up significantly in
October. Safe-haven demand for gold and silver could continue rising in the event
of election turmoil or other outcomes that rattle the markets.
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Key
Economic Data Scheduled for This Week
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- Monday, November 1st –
Factory Orders. Orders dropped in August and experts expect an even larger
decline in the September Report. The consensus is for a 0.5% drop versus a 0.2%
decline in the prior month.
- Thursday, November 7th
– FOMC . Speculation about what Fed officials are likely to do with
interest rates has been eclipsed by Presidential politics, but the FOMC does meet
this week. Many expect officials to cut rates once again, particularly given broad
interest rates have only moved higher since the last cut in September.
- Friday, November 8th
– Consumer Sentiment. Forecasters predict a slight improvement in
sentiment versus the prior read in October.
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This week's Market Update was
authored by Money Metals Director Clint Siegner.
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This copyrighted material may not
be republished without express permission. Offer only available through email
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