The Evening: Iranian Threats, Proposal to End Lebanon War, Unbroken Tribute, and More

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Good Evening,

It's Thursday, October 31st.

Iranian Officials Threaten Retaliation for Israeli Strikes

Two top Iranian officials on Thursday said Iran planned to respond to Israel’s recent attacks, according to Iranian media, threatening to continue a cycle of retaliation between the countries, as the NYT reports

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U.S. Officials in Israel Working on Proposal to End Lebanon War

Senior U.S. officials are in Israel discussing a draft agreement to end the war in Lebanon that would allow Israel to continue striking Lebanon for a two-month period, a proposal that is likely to face steep resistance from both Hezbollah and the Lebanese government over concerns it violates the country’s sovereignty, as the WSJ reports

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NK Launches ICBM

North Korea on Thursday launched a new and more powerful ballistic missile, with leader Kim Jong Un signaling his regime wanted to show the United States and South Korea that it would resist the “dangerous tightening of their nuclear alliance,” as The Washington Post reports

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Executive Education

Step into the unfolding story of superpower strategy as U.S.-China relations continue to redefine the global order. Flashpoints and Future of the U.S.-China Relationship

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explores the complex dynamics driving this critical relationship through expert insights and simulated futures. Register

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by November 6.

Audio Briefs

CSIS now offers full audio versions of our latest analysis. Listen to the latest commentary from CSIS's Gregory C. Allen, "Mismatch of Strategy and Budgets in AI Chip Export Controls

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In That Number

$50 Billion

China built a $50 billion military stronghold in the South China Sea on an island called Hainan, a popular tourist destination east of Vietnam, that now serves as the launching point for its aggressive forays into the contested waters of the South China Sea.

Source: The Washington Post

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Critical Quote

“Putin has gone tin-cupping to get weapons. Turning to a pariah state like North Korea for troops just underscores how much trouble he is in.”

—Lloyd Austin, Secretary of Defense

iDeas Lab

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Between 2013 and the first quarter of 2024, the United States was the fifth-largest source of approved foreign investment in the Philippines, accounting for 7 percent of the total, or roughly $3.6 billion. The United States is trailed closely by China, the sixth-largest source of approved foreign investment, clocking in at $3.2 billion. Read the full digital report here.

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The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and multimedia.

Optics

(Photo Credit: CNA/AFP/Getty Images.) A photo taken of a flooded area in Yuanshan Township, in Yilan County, Taiwan on October 31 as Super Typhoon Kong-rey approached the island.

Recommended Reading

“Defensive Measures Against China: Time for a Reevaluation

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” by CSIS’s Scott Kennedy.

This Town Tomorrow

On Monday at 11:30 a.m.

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, the CSIS Middle East Program and Freeman Chair in China Studies discuss China’s ambitions in the Middle East and its impacts on U.S. partnerships in the region.

Later on Monday, at 4:00 p.m.

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, the CSIS Wadhwani AI Center welcomes Hon. Dr. Will Roper, founder and CEO of Istari Digital and former Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Acquisition, Technology and Logistics, to examine major DOD AI and autonomy programs underway today.

On Thursday at 1:00 p.m.

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, the CSIS Defense-Industrial Initiatives Group unpacks approaches to advancing dual-use deep tech for the warfighter.

Video

Today, the CSIS Economic Security and Technology Department discussed how to protect sensitive U.S. technologies through export controls and investment screening; the role of government in reindustrialization; and technology competition, cooperation, and statecraft, providing policy recommendations to the upcoming administration. Watch the full video here.

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Podcasts

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Aram Nirguizian, CSIS senior associate and an expert on the Levant, joins the podcast to discuss the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah in southern Lebanon, Hezbollah’s current political and military capabilities, and the impact of the conflict on the Lebanese people.

Listen on Spotify

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& Apple Podcasts

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Smiles

Happy Halloween, everyone! As one more tribute to the Grateful Dead’s Phil Lesh, here’s a video of his family and friends wishing him a happy birthday a couple of years ago when Lesh turned 81. Yesterday, I wrote about the power of the Lesh tune, “Unbroken Chain.” This video

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underscores its importance.

I invite you to email me at [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed by Lauren Adler, Ava Rose, and the External Relations team.

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Connect w/ H. Andrew Schwartz



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