The Founding Fathers never intended for the judicial branch to write laws, but rather apply them, within the confines of the Constitution, to the cases that came before the Court. But, beginning in the 1930’s, the Supreme Court adopted two judicial doctrines which transformed it into a super-legislature:
The first was the “tiers-of-scrutiny” doctrine, which gave the Court the power to choose which enumerated rights it would enforce or ignore
The “living document” doctrine, which gave the Court the power to change the meaning of laws
In the 1940s and ‘50s, most state supreme courts, including North Carolina’s, adopted similar doctrines with similar effects.
Which is why our judicial elections matter.
Because what’s at stake are the laws that will govern North Carolina for the next four years.
Because of the judicial doctrines mentioned above, the Court has the power to uphold or strike down laws if the majority of justices approve or disapprove of them on policy grounds.
As a result, a four-member majority of justices can wield more power over the law than the General Assembly and the Governor combined.
Voters are generally aware that this has happened at the federal level, and often choose presidential candidates on the basis of who the candidate is likely to appoint to the Supreme Court.
We’re lucky here in North Carolina.
Unlike the US Supreme Court, our justices aren’t appointed for life. We choose them through judicial elections, meaning voters have a real opportunity to shape the outcome of critical issues that affect all of us.
So, when you go to the polls, or when you fill out your absentee ballot, please remember that the NC Supreme Court justices you choose will exercise more power over you and your family than any other candidate on the ballot.
So, no pressure, but choose wisely!
You can read more election coverage from Locke here, here and here.
Esse quam videri,
Brooke Medina
Editor’s Note
In last week’s Locke Notes, we incorrectly stated that hand-to-eye counts should be done by units (voting sites, precincts and absentee ballots). Hand-to-eye counts are already done by units.
This year, North Carolina plays host to one of the most competitive seats in the Southeast
Republicans have long sought to pick up the northeastern Congressional District 1
Which hasn’t been held by a Republican since 1883
Much like other rural areas, this region of the state has been trending in Republicans’ favor over the years
However, the Democratic incumbent, Don Davis, has a sizeable financial advantage, higher name ID, and comes across as easy-to-get-along-with
Nonetheless, the current voting data could indicate that, unless we see massive shift in voting patterns, Republicans may finally win this seat
In reviewing early voting data, the pace of voting is behind where it was in 2020
On the 5th day of early voting this year, there are 30,005 less ballots than on the same day in 2020
While the state has seen a decline in early voting from 2020, this decline is notable because registered Democrats are down 31,680 votes
While registered Republicans are up 2,540
While it would be easy to assume this decline is because of fewer people opting for mail-in voting, it’s also Democrats not showing up for early voting
Traditionally, Democrats have the highest turnout advantage in the first few days of early voting, while Republicans see an increase closer to Election Day
Should this trend hold, Republicans could overtake Democrats during early voting this year
So… why does the decline matter?
With the difference in votes is only 4,577 votes, the current decrease in registered Democrats’ voting could be detrimental to their hopes of winning
This is particularly true when you look at how unaffiliated voters broke in this district in 2020’s early voting
Assuming all Democrats voted for the Democratic candidate, this would mean that most unaffiliated voters voted for the Republican candidate
While there is still a long way to go, and a possibility electoral voting patterns shift again, there will be need be a significant change if Don Davis is going to win reelection this year