DFP's newsletter of our latest polls, memos, and memes.
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And if you appoint justices who overturn Roe… well, good luck, Charlie!
To capture women’s votes in this election, Donald Trump’s been sounding ([link removed]) cheesier than a crappy diet magazine you see in line at the grocery store — claiming that as president, he’ll make women “happy, healthy, confident, and free!”
When you combine that with Trump’s recent claim that he’s the “father of IVF ([link removed]) ” right after calling Republican Senator Katie Britt a “young, just a fantastically attractive person,” it’s safe to say that his messaging to women on abortion this year has been less than stellar.
While Trump has tried to soften his position on abortion — claiming that abortion should be left up to the states — our new polling ([link removed]) finds that more voters today think he’ll enact restrictions on abortion than they did earlier this year.
Since April, we’ve seen an 8-point increase in the percentage of voters who think Trump will restrict abortion access. Among women voters in particular, that shift increases to 10 points.
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We’re sure that if Trump spends more time at his rallies bizarrely swaying to music ([link removed]) while attendees leave in droves, that’ll turn those numbers right around.
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
Here are some other highlights from DFP this week:
Project 2025? More like Project 2020-FLOP!
We wrote some pretty awful papers back in school (it took an embarrassingly long time to learn that it isn’t supposed to be escapegoat). But we’re going to be honest, we never wrote a paper so bad it nearly took down a presidential campaign. Is there a grade worse than an F? That’s what we would give the Heritage Foundation for their Project 2025 report — the worst book we’ve only partially read.
According to our new polling ([link removed]) , most voters have heard at least a little about Project 2025, and a majority of those voters have heard mostly negative things about it. And when we asked them about various Project 2025 proposals, a majority say they are concerned about every one.
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However, only a plurality of voters, including a plurality of Independents (42%), think former President Donald Trump supports Project 2025. So let your groupchat know — Project 2025 isn’t the plan to get your single friend a date in the next year. It’s a plan to fundamentally transform the federal government in favor of right-wing, Christian nationalism, with Trump at the helm of it all.
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
The kids are our future!
If you’ve never played Roblox, watched a Twitch stream, or heard of the Costco guys, it can feel hard to communicate with the younger generation. But you don’t need to know what skibidi or gyatt means to know that kids these days are struggling.
Young students across the United States are struggling with their mental health at an alarming rate. Over the past 10 years, rates of depression, anxiety, and suicidal ideation have increased significantly, and mental health has become part of a national conversation, leading some states to implement more school-based mental health resources.
Our new poll ([link removed]) finds that 86% of likely voters support a policy to expand school-based mental health services — including 56% who strongly support the policy — while only 9% are opposed. Among parents of children under 18, 90% are supportive.
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Your middle-school emo era might have been just a phase, but mental health challenges for teenagers are real and significant. We also find that more than 80% of voters support requiring school staff and students to be educated on mental health and suicide awareness and requiring school websites to provide information and resources on mental health.
Read the full poll here ([link removed]) .
DFP In The News
ABC News: How Hurricanes Helene and Milton could affect the 2024 election ([link removed])
Forbes: Two-Thirds Of Economists Think Inflation Would Be Worse Under Trump Than Harris, Poll Finds ([link removed])
Penn Live: Senate Leaders must stand with their constituents and pass HB2433 | PennLive letters ([link removed])
GoBankingRates: I’m a Pollster: 4 Economic Changes Harris Voters Are Looking For in 2025 ([link removed])
On Social
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Meme of the Week
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