The Evening: U.S. Warns Israel, IMF Warns on Debt, TTB, and More

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Good Evening,

It's Tuesday, October 15th.

U.S. Warns Israel That Aid to Gaza Must Increase

The United States has warned Israel of consequences within 30 days if it does not allow more humanitarian aid into Gaza, the State Department said on Tuesday, as the NYT reports

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IMF Warns of Rise In Government Debt

Government debts are set to match the annual output of the global economy by the end of this decade, and could cross that threshold much sooner if economic growth is weaker or interest payments are higher than expected, the International Monetary Fund said Tuesday, as the WSJ reports

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Canada and India expel diplomats

Canada has expelled India’s highest-ranking diplomat and five other officials after accusing them of involvement in “criminal activities” linked to the assassination of a Sikh activist, as the FT reports

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Executive Education

Security, sustainability, and supply chains are all key factors in the conversation around critical minerals. Explore the natural resources essential to national, economic, and energy security in Building Critical Mineral Security for a Sustainable Future.

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Register here

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before 11:59 p.m. tonight.

Audio Briefs

CSIS experts give short, spoken-word summaries on the biggest takeaways from their latest reports, white papers, and commentaries—in their own words.

Listen here: "Gold Rush: The 2024 Commercial Remote Sensing Global Rankings

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" with CSIS's Kari A. Bingen.

In That Number

1/3

An International Energy Agency report said Ukraine’s electricity deficit this winter could reach as much as one-third of what is needed during peak hours due to the war.

Source: NYT

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Critical Quote

“Future debt levels could be even higher than projected, and much larger fiscal adjustments than currently projected are required to stabilize or reduce it with a high probability. Countries should confront debt risks now with carefully designed fiscal policies that protect growth and vulnerable households, while taking advantage of the monetary policy easing cycle.”

—International Monetary Fund, “Putting a Lid on Public Debt”

iDeas Lab

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On average, the nine BRICS economies have more than twice the level of dependence on the Taiwan Strait of the G7 economies. Faced with severe disruptions to their trade during a crisis over Taiwan, developing countries could collectively exert significant pressure on Beijing to resolve a conflict to avoid long-term economic pain. Read the full analysis here.

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The Andreas C. Dracopoulos iDeas Lab at CSIS enhances our research with the latest in cutting-edge web technologies, design, and multimedia.

Optics

(Photo credit: R. Satish Babu/AFP/ Getty Images.) People wade through a flooded street amid heavy rainfall in Chennai, India, on October 15, 2024.

Recommended Reading

“Employing ‘Non-Peaceful’ Means Against Taiwan: The Implications of China’s Anti-Secession Law

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” by CSIS’s Bonny Lin with I-Chung Lai.

This Town Tomorrow

At 2:00 p.m.

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, the CSIS Japan Chair and Sasakawa Peace Foundation host a conference on the security environment in East Asia and ways to strengthen deterrence in the region.

Earlier, at 10:00 a.m.

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, Brookings and the Public Religion Research Institute release their 15th annual American Values Survey.

Also, at 2:00 p.m.

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, the Carnegie Endowment discusses a new report on the internal dynamics behind China’s evolving nuclear strategy.

Video

Today, the CSIS Smart Women, Smart Power Initiative celebrated its tenth anniversary at an event featuring Deputy Secretary of Defense Kathleen Hicks on the Pentagon's upcoming priorities. Watch the full video here.

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Podcasts

Charles Edel, CSIS Senior Adviser and Australia Chair, and Kathryn Paik, Senior Fellow with the CSIS Australia Chair, join the podcast to discuss their new Foreign Affairs article

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on how China is dominating foreign policy in the Pacific.

Listen on Spotify

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& Apple Podcasts

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.

Smiles

I love just about everything that the Tedeschi Trucks Band does—original tunes, covers, it’s all excellent. Take this recent performance of the Grateful Dead’s “Mr. Charlie

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.”

I invite you to email me at [email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

and follow me on Twitter @handrewschwartz

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The Evening is my daily guide to key insights CSIS brings to the events of the day. It is composed by Lauren Adler, Ava Rose, and the External Relations team.

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Connect w/ H. Andrew Schwartz



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